Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 21

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.05	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.06	3.35	3.65
	2.12	3.33	3.17	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.2
	1.97	3.28	3.52	Watch
	2.03	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.17)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	3.34 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
44.9%

Draw
27.8%

Ryūkyū
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.6%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Kataller Toyama - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ryūkyū will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 26. Nabeta A. 4. Kamiyama K. 25. Yasumitsu S. 24. Kawai Y. 16. Sueki H. 22. Shiina N. 33. Takahashi Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 10. Leiria Dos Santos M.	35. Higashi J. (G) 17. Masutani K. 14. Suzuki J. 3. Mori Y. 22. Uehara M. 6. Okazawa K. 4. Fujiharu H. 18. Hiramatsu S. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 13. Iwamoto S. 55. Koki Y.
Substitutes
48. Arai Y. 28. Fuseya S. 11. Matsumoto K. 30. Osako A. 31. Saito K. (G) 17. Tsubokawa H. 9. Usui S.	15. Araki R. 11. Ishii K. 41. Kagiyama K. 9. Noda R. 32. Ogawa Y. 31. Park Seong-Su (G) 89. Takagi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Kamiyama K. 🟨,
20', Kawai Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Iwamoto S. ↓, Noda R. ↑,
46', Mori Y. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
62', Shiina N. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
62', Leiria Dos Santos M. ↓, Usui S. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Fuseya S. ⚽, Yoshihira T. (A),
71', 2 - 0, Usui S. ⚽, Sueki H. (A),
74', Koki Y. ↓, Ogawa Y. ↑,
76', Sueki H. ↓, Tsubokawa H. ↑,
76', Kawai Y. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
84', Uehara M. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Usui S. ⚽, Fuseya S. (A),
88', Yoshihira T. ↓, Arai Y. ↑,
90+1', Okazawa K. ↓, Kagiyama K. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 and 8).

Kataller Toyama is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ryūkyū is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kataller Toyama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kataller Toyama won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
06.07.24	Osaka - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
26.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Nagano Parceiro - Kataller Toyama	2:3 ✺
16.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWWT
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
07.07.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Ryūkyū	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Ryūkyū	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Ryūkyū - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Ryūkyū - Imabari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
30.03.24	Ryūkyū - Kataller Toyama	3:1
04.11.23	Ryūkyū - Kataller Toyama	1:3
15.07.23	Kataller Toyama - Ryūkyū	1:0

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