The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shonan Bellmare 28.6%
Draw 31.3%
Tokyo Verdy 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
30.7%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
30.7%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.8%
31.6%
52.6%
Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 30.1% โ 75.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tokyo Verdy will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Sanada K. (G) 50. Fujii T. 13. Hiraoka T. 32. Matsumura S. 22. Oiwa K. 8. Ono K. 7. Onose K. 10. Suzuki A. 4. Tachi K. 29. Watanabe K. 6. Ze Ricardo
1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 40. Arai Y. 2. Fukazawa D. 4. Hayashi N. 6. Miyahara K. 7. Morita K. 8. Saito K. 9. Someno I. 3. Taniguchi H. 38. Toyama S. 26. Uchida Y.
Substitutes
18. Ikeda M. 66. Matsumoto H. 47. Nakano S. 72. Nitta R. 9. Oda Y. 25. Okuno H. 15. Okuno K. 1. Popp W. (G) 37. Suzuki Y.
16. Hirakawa R. 71. Hirao H. 17. Inami T. 25. Kumatoriya I. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 27. Shirai R. 15. Suzuki K. 45. Teranuma S.
Coaches
Yamaguchi S.
Hiroshi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Toyama S. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Someno I. ⚽, Matsuhashi Y. (A),
57', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
66', Morita K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
68', Hiraoka T. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
68', Watanabe K. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
70', Arai Y. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
73', Uchida Y. 🟨,
76', Matsumura S. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
80', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
80', Uchida Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
83', Fujii T. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
83', Onose K. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
90+1', Inami T. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 4.
Shonan Bellmare is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tokyo Verdy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishii H.
(International duty)
Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Shonan Bellmare - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 32.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Tokyo Verdy - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 37.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Sanada K. (G) 
Ze Ricardo 
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