Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport, Voyo
Ukraine	Maincast


	Kairat		Slovan Bratislava

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.21	3.23	3.52
	1.88	3.32	4.32	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.27	3.38	3.28	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.6)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.37 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
42.8%

Draw
29%

Slovan Bratislava
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

29.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.3%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.

Slovan Bratislava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slovan Bratislava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slovan Bratislava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.6%	18.2%	24.2%

Kairat - Slovan Bratislava Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). Slovan Bratislava will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kairat: 35.4% – 71.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Kairat (votes: 9 - 50%). Slovan Bratislava (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Slovan Bratislava (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Slovan Bratislava (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Kairat (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Kairat (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Slovan Bratislava (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zarutskiy A. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 80. Sorokin E. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 3. Mata L. 20. Tapalov E. 15. Arad O. 55. Gromyko V. 7. Jorginho 26. Edmilson Santos 9. Satpaev D.	71. Takac D. (G) 28. Blackman C. 12. Bajric K. 4. Kashia G. 57. Cruz S. 3. Pokorny P. 5. Ibrahim R. 11. Barseghyan T. 10. Tolic M. 7. Weiss V. jr. (C) 13. Strelec D.
Substitutes
77. Anarbekov T. (G) 89. Bagdat R. 17. Baybek O. 44. Gadrani L. 18. Glazer D. 82. Kalmyrza S. (G) 5. Kurgin L. 24. Mrynskiy A. 99. Ricardinho 6. Sadybekov A. 25. Shirobokov A. 33. Stanojev J.	77. Ignatenko D. 9. Kukharevych M. 26. Lichy F. 44. Macik M. (G) 21. Mak R. 18. Marcelli N. 20. Mustafic A. 88. Savvidis K. 31. Trnovsky M. (G) 6. Wimmer K. 14. Yirajang A. 23. Zuberu S.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Weiss V. sr.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Barseghyan T. 🟨,
25', Tapalov E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Ibrahim R. 🟨,
55', Kasabulat D. 🟨,
65', Ibrahim R. 🟨,
67', Satpaev D. 🟨,
72', Strelec D. 🟨,
78', Gromyko V. ↓, Mrynskiy A. ↑,
78', Weiss V. jr. ↓, Yirajang A. ↑,
81', Edmilson Santos ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
82', Tolic M. ↓, Ignatenko D. ↑,
82', Strelec D. ↓, Kukharevych M. ↑,
88', Ignatenko D. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Satpaev D. (Pen),
90+1', Barseghyan T. ↓, Wimmer K. ↑,
90+2', Weiss V. sr. 🟨,
90+2', Weiss V. sr. 🟨,
90+2', Bajric K. 🟨,
90+4', Kasabulat D. ↓, Glazer D. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Kairat is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Slovan Bratislava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kairat will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
02.08.25	Kairat - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.25	Kairat - KuPS Kuopio	3:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.25	Tobol Kostanay - Kairat	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	KuPS Kuopio - Kairat	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
19.07.25	Kairat - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLT
- Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Superliga
02.08.25	Slovan Bratislava - Podbrezová	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Slovan Bratislava	2:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
26.07.25	Tatran Prešov - Slovan Bratislava	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Midtjylland	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTWL

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