Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Iskakov M. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Kairat		Kaisar

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.6	7.5
	1.26	5.15	9.6	Watch
	1.28	5.18	9.09
	1.27	5.2	9.18	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.31	5.61	8.25	Watch
	1.22	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.2)	5.05 ↓ (6.1)	8.73 ↓ (11.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
71.4%

Draw
18.1%

Kaisar
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.8%

15.1%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kairat's form might have worsened.

Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Kairat - Kaisar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Kairat (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kairat (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 25. Shirobokov A. 3. Mata L. 18. Glazer D. 13. Oksanen J. 17. Tuyakbaev A. 7. Jorginho 19. Jukkola O. 10. Satpaev D.	40. Kovac A. (G) 3. Tolegenov A. (C) 15. Idrisov N. 17. Zhumabekov S. 47. Konlimkos B. 42. Miqueias 8. Abiken A. 24. Cuckic N. 12. Sovet S. 96. Mukhammed A. 11. Moses V.
Substitutes
27. Abish M. 8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 30. Buch D. (G) 9. Edmilson 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 5. Kurgin L. 44. Lucas Africo 20. Tapalov E. 11. Zeballos S.	9. Agzambaev N. 70. Ezekiel I. 14. Jones T. 6. Kaldybekov E. 5. Kenesbek A. 18. Rustemuly D. 1. Salaydin N. (G) 21. Serikuly D. 23. Zhumat M.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Ferapontov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Idrisov N. 🟨,
16', Martynovich A. 🟨,
33', Jorginho 🟨,
35', Oksanen J. 🟨,
37', Abiken A. ↓, Kaldybekov E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Mukhammed A. ↓, Agzambaev N. ↑,
60', Moses V. ↓, Ezekiel I. ↑,
61', Tuyakbaev A. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
64', Miqueias 🟨,
82', Konlimkos B. ↓, Zhumat M. ↑,
82', Cuckic N. ↓, Jones T. ↑,
90+1', Sovet S. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 2.

Kairat is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Kaisar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kaisar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kairat has had a series of away games.

Recently, Kaisar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kairat is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
17.05.26	Zhenis - Kairat	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Ulytau - Kairat	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Kaisar - Kairat	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Kaisar - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWL
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
17.05.26	Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.05.26	Aktobe - Kaisar	3:0 ✺
06.05.26	Kaisar - Kairat	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Kaisar - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
06.05.26	Kaisar - Kairat	1:2
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Kaisar - Kairat	2:1
Kazakh Premier League
19.07.25	Kairat - Kaisar	1:1
20.04.25	Kaisar - Kairat	0:0
21.09.24	Kairat - Kaisar	1:0
27.04.24	Kaisar - Kairat	1:0
29.07.23	Kaisar - Kairat	0:0

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