The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kairat 70.8%
Draw 18%
KuPS Kuopio 11.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
23.6%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
26.3%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.
KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.4%
11.8%
5.9%
Kairat - KuPS Kuopio Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
TQ, OT - Kairat (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 - Kairat (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH +2.5 - KuPS (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kairat will win
(39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.21% – 92.29%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kairat will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Kairat (votes: 21 - 77.8%). KuPS (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zarutskiy A. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 80. Sorokin E. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 3. Mata L. 20. Tapalov E. 15. Arad O. 55. Gromyko V. 26. Edmilson Santos 7. Jorginho 9. Satpaev D.
12. Hakala A. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 15. Cisse I. 16. Miettinen S. 22. Hamalainen N. 13. Oksanen J. 10. Arifi D. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 34. Ruoppi O. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 20. Toure M.
Substitutes
77. Anarbekov T. (G) 89. Bagdat R. 17. Baybek O. 44. Gadrani L. 82. Kalmyrza S. (G) 5. Kurgin L. 24. Mrynskiy A. 99. Ricardinho 6. Sadybekov A. 25. Shirobokov A. 33. Stanojev J. 10. Zaria G.
24. Armah B. 17. Heinonen A. 23. Lotjonen A. 14. Pasanen S. 11. Sadiku A. 30. Sahimaa L. 7. Voutilainen J.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.
Wiss J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
7', Jorginho 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Satpaev D. ⚽, Mata L. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Jorginho ⚽, Tapalov E. (A),
43', 3 - 0, Gromyko V. ⚽, Satpaev D. (A),
45', Arifi D. 🟨,
45+1', Zaria G. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Arad O. 🟨,
66', Edmilson Santos ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
66', Satpaev D. ↓, Mrynskiy A. ↑,
67', Toure M. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
67', Arifi D. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
73', Gromyko V. 🟨,
74', Jorginho ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
76', Hamalainen N. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
81', Gromyko V. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
84', Pennanen P. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
84', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Pasanen S. ↑,
90+6', Zarutskiy A. 🟨,
90+7', Mrynskiy A. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
KuPS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Kairat is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Kazakhstan
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Zarutskiy A. (G) 
Sorokin E. 
Martynovich A. (C) 
Mata L. 
Arad O. 
Edmilson Santos 
Hakala A. (G) 
Cisse I. 
Toure M. 
Gadrani L. 
Stanojev J. 
Armah B. 
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