Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)


	Kairat		Zenit

	1	X	2
	4.3	4.1	1.6
	4.53	4.33	1.67	Watch
	4.3	4.1	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↓ (8)	4.18 ↑ (4)	1.62 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
21.1%

Draw
22.1%

Zenit
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

23.8%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

23.4%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zenit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zenit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kairat - Zenit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ulyanov V. (G) 15. Arad O. 28. Arshavin A. 19. Elder Santana 11. Paulo J. (C) 20. Sergeev D. 22. Seydakhmet E. 9. Shvyrev V. 80. Sorokin E. 23. Ulshin A. 3. Yuldoshev I.	41. Kerzhakov M. (G) 77. Akhmetov I. 9. Artur 2. Chistyakov D. 21. Erokhin A. 31. Gustavo Mantuan 27. Nino 3. Santos D. 7. Sobolev A. 44. Timoshchuk 8. Wendel
Substitutes
94. Bizhan A. 24. Mrynskiy A. 26. Omatay M. 97. Smailbek S. 33. Stanojev J. 1. Ustimenko D. (G) 79. Valgushev G. 7. Zaria G.	. Adamov D. (G) . Barrios W. . Bazilevskiy N. . Cassierra M. . Chernov S. . Gondou L. . Kasheev G. . Mushkarin D. . Tarasov A. . Vasiljev

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Erokhin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
51', 0 - 2, Cassierra M. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
61', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Gondou L. ⚽,
78', 2 - 4, ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kairat could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zenit have a series of guest games.

In this match Zenit is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kairat won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Kairat won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
01.09.24	Kairat - Astana	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Kairat - Tobol Kostanay	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Kazakh League Cup
10.08.24	Zhenis - Kairat	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
03.08.24	Kairat - Yelimay Semey	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLW
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
31.08.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Zenit	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.24	Akron Tolyatti - Zenit	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
24.08.24	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Khimki - Zenit	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
14.08.24	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.10.23	Kairat - Zenit	2:2
17.02.20	Kairat - Zenit	1:3
09.09.18	Zenit - Kairat	1:0

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