Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Koblandy Batyr Stadium (Aktobe)

Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aktobe		Zhenis

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.40	4.33
	1.68	3.40	4.50	Watch
	1.75	3.58	4.85
	1.89	3.33	3.89	Watch
	1.63	3.50	4.80
	1.81	3.67	4.09	Watch
	1.67	3.40	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.03)	3.47 ↑ (3.19)	4.41 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
52.9%

Draw
26.4%

Zhenis
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe's performance.

Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhenis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aktobe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Aktobe - Zhenis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Zhenis will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 31. Tanzharikov A. 23. Erlanov T. 13. Miangue S. 12. Topalov D. 14. Pibe 20. Zhukov G. 21. Alvarez P. 9. Ojo S. 17. Nani (C) 7. Sosah D.	41. Plotnikov M. (G) 4. Bystrov M. 5. Tevzadze Z. 63. Saravanja I. 13. Tursynbay S. 11. Filipovic A. 7. Kuat I. (C) 29. Zharynbetov S. 14. Saulet A. 19. Adilio 10. Imnadze L.
Substitutes
6. Atanasov J. 95. Aymbetov A. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 29. Kikbaev M. 83. Korganbaev P. (G) 4. Kusyapov T. 22. Seydakhmet E. 11. Shushenachev A. 57. Umaniyazov M.	16. Abuov T. (G) 17. Adilov A. 94. Arystanov N. 72. Askarov M. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 8. Khaseyn M. 3. Kpozo P. 18. Madelkhan B. 98. Marat A. 9. Naumets V. 1. Sotnik I. (G)
Coaches
Cherevchenko I.	Sliskovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Nani 🟨,
30', Saulet A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Saulet A. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
52', Kuat I. 🟨,
54', Imnadze L. 🟨,
55', Bystrov M. 🟨,
62', Ojo S. ↓, Shushenachev A. ↑,
69', Erlanov T. ↓, Atanasov J. ↑,
78', Zharynbetov S. ↓, Madelkhan B. ↑,
78', Atanasov J. 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Shushenachev A. ⚽, Atanasov J. (A),
84', Bystrov M. ↓, Adilov A. ↑,
84', Imnadze L. ↓, Besengaliyev Y. ↑,
88', 🟨,
89', Nani ↓, Kusyapov T. ↑,
90', Pibe ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
90', Topalov D. ↓, Dosmagambetov T. ↑,
90+4', Saravanja I. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 2.

In recent matches, Aktobe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zhenis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Aktobe has had a series of away games.

Recently, Zhenis has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aktobe is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32

Last Results with these Odds

Aktobe - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.32%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
30.08.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kaisar - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLW
- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
29.08.26	Zhenis - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Zhenis - Kaisar	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Zhenis - Zhetysu	4:1 ✺
02.08.26	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.07.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
19.04.26	Zhenis - Aktobe	1:0
03.08.25	Aktobe - Zhenis	0:1
03.05.25	Zhenis - Aktobe	0:1
Kazakh Cup
13.04.25	Zhenis - Aktobe	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
04.08.24	Zhenis - Aktobe	1:2
31.03.24	Aktobe - Zhenis	3:0

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