Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)


	Zhenis		Yelimay Semey

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.30	2.10
	2.75	3.10	2.23	Watch
	3.22	3.50	2.13
	2.92	3.28	2.27	Watch
	3.15	3.40	2.01
	3.01	3.55	2.20	Watch
	2.90	3.25	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.12)	3.34 ↑ (2.94)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhenis
30.5%

Draw
27.2%

Yelimay Semey
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

31.3%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

31.1%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Zhenis - Yelimay Semey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Plotnikov M. (G) 17. Adilov A. 5. Tevzadze Z. 13. Tursynbay S. 3. Kpozo P. 8. Khaseyn M. 29. Zharynbetov S. 88. Martins G. 19. Adilio 11. Filipovic A. 9. Naumets V.	32. Konovalov I. (G) 20. Ashirbek A. 26. Tanasijevic S. 3. Higor Gabriel 15. Mittendorfer M. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 77. Placca F. 23. Ilic H. 44. Tyulyubay A. 10. Payruz Z. 9. Soto R.
Substitutes
72. Askarov M. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 4. Bystrov M. 93. Elder Santana 10. Imnadze L. 18. Madelkhan B. 77. Shanshar N. (G) 1. Sotnik I. (G)	2. Adambayev A. 88. Baigaliyev A. 27. Berezkin E. 8. Omatay M. 14. Palacio D. 11. Sviridov I. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G)
Coaches
Aliyev A.	Karpovich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Khaseyn M. 🟨,
17', Placca F. 🟨,
45+1', Higor Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Payruz Z. ↓, Berezkin E. ↑,
62', Adilov A. 🟨,
71', Soto R. ↓, Sviridov I. ↑,
75', Berezkin E. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
76', Ashirbek A. 🟥,
77', Naumets V. ↓, Elder Santana ↑,
81', Filipovic A. ↓, Imnadze L. ↑,
90+1', Tursynbay S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 1.

Zhenis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yelimay's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Yelimay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zhenis has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhenis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Cup
29.07.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhenis	3:2 ✺
18.07.26	Zhenis - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Zhenis	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Astana - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTWL
- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Yelimay Semey - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Yelimay Semey - Alashkert	2:3 penalties ✺
09.07.26	Alashkert - Yelimay Semey	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.07.26	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
23.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	2:1
19.07.25	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	1:2
20.04.25	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:1
27.07.24	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	1:0
04.05.24	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	1:2
Kazakh First League
26.09.23	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:3
10.06.23	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	3:2

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