Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Sulikanov S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zhenis		Zhetysu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.10	2.80
	2.12	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.41	3.3	2.83
	2.34	3.17	2.91	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.75
	2.19	3.14	3.40	Watch
	1.97	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.18)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	3.01 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhenis
41%

Draw
28.8%

Zhetysu
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.7%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Zhenis - Zhetysu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Plotnikov M. (G) 14. Saulet A. 5. Tevzadze Z. 8. Khaseyn M. 3. Kpozo P. 10. Imnadze L. 29. Zharynbetov S. (C) 88. Martins G. 19. Adilio 11. Filipovic A. 93. Elder Santana	88. Sicaci S. (G) 11. Dobay A. 2. Aslan R. 5. Orynbassar R. 3. Luna D. 17. Nurbol N. 18. Shvyrev V. 10. Mosiashvili T. 7. Muzhikov S. (C) 90. Jovanovic S. 77. Anuarbekov N.
Substitutes
16. Abuov T. (G) 17. Adilov A. 94. Arystanov N. 72. Askarov M. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 18. Madelkhan B. 22. Masudov S. 9. Naumets V. 1. Sotnik I. (G)	9. Abzalov S. 8. Adakhadziev A. 31. Akhmetov A. 20. Anuarbek S. 1. Egorov A. (G) 30. Ertis S. 22. Podymskiy D. (G) 21. Zhakipbayev M. 27. Zivanovic M.
Coaches
Sliskovic V.	Nurdauletov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Saulet A. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Filipovic A. ⚽,
26', Sicaci S. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Filipovic A. ⚽,
36', Imnadze L. 🟨,
42', Muzhikov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Zharynbetov S. ↓, Madelkhan B. ↑,
46', Shvyrev V. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
46', Jovanovic S. ↓, Abzalov S. ↑,
49', Nurbol N. 🟨,
55', Mosiashvili T. 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Adilio ⚽, Madelkhan B. (A),
59', Saulet A. ↓, Adilov A. ↑,
59', Imnadze L. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
64', Muzhikov S. ↓, Adakhadziev A. ↑,
65', Aslan R. ↓, Zivanovic M. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Naumets V. ⚽,
76', 4 - 1, Zivanovic M. ⚽, Zhakipbayev M. (A),
76', Anuarbekov N. ↓, Anuarbek S. ↑,
77', Filipovic A. ↓, Besengaliyev Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 3.

In recent matches, Zhenis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zhetysu has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zhetysu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zhenis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhenis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Last Results with these Odds

Zhetysu - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
02.08.26	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.07.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhenis	3:2 ✺
18.07.26	Zhenis - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Zhenis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLTW
- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
08.08.26	Zhetysu - Ordabasy	0:4 ✺
01.08.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Zhetysu - Altai Semey	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
09.05.26	Zhetysu - Zhenis	2:3
13.07.25	Zhenis - Zhetysu	3:1
05.04.25	Zhetysu - Zhenis	0:0
19.10.24	Zhenis - Zhetysu	1:0
16.06.24	Zhetysu - Zhenis	2:2
Kazakh First League
30.09.22	Zhetysu - Zhenis	3:1
24.06.22	Zhenis - Zhetysu	3:1

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