The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kaisar 16.9%
Draw 23.2%
Ordabasy 60%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.6%
19.2%
65.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.2%
18.7%
66.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ordabasy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ordabasy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kaisar - Ordabasy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Kovac A. (G) 5. Kenesbek A. (C) 93. Askarov S. 43. Klaidher 7. Tazhibay B. 42. Miqueias 24. Cuckic N. 12. Sovet S. 13. Zhaksylyk N. 11. Moses V. 47. Konlimkos B.
1. Shayzada B. (G) 5. Antic N. 8. Zhaksybaev U. 25. Maliy S. (C) 22. Astanov S. 19. Leo Natel 55. Amanovic A. 44. Keita T. 77. Abagna D. 28. Johnsen B. 9. Everton
Substitutes
10. Agostinho 9. Agzambaev N. 29. Bagdat R. 70. Ezekiel I. 14. Gustavo Zago 15. Idrisov N. 6. Kaldybekov E. 96. Mukhammed A. 2. Redzhepov T. 1. Salaydin N. (G) 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S.
15. Amir Z. 10. Astanov E. 16. Capatina M. 4. Keiler S. 3. Kilama G. 23. Nurymbet A. 27. Serik N. 21. Toktybay B. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A. 11. Vakulko Y.
Coaches
Karpov D.
Martin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Johnsen B. (Penalty Awarded),
25', Zhaksybaev U. 🟨,
32', Antic N. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Johnsen B. ⚽, Leo Natel (A),
45', 1 - 2, Klaidher ⚽, Zhaksylyk N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Konlimkos B. ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
53', 1 - 3, Abagna D. ⚽, Johnsen B. (A),
58', Tazhibay B. ↓, Agostinho ↑,
58', Cuckic N. ↓, Kaldybekov E. ↑,
60', Kenesbek A. 🟨,
61', Leo Natel ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
61', Everton ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
61', Keita T. ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Johnsen B. ⚽,
77', Zhaksylyk N. ↓, Gustavo Zago ↑,
77', Moses V. ↓, Mukhammed A. ↑,
78', Johnsen B. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
78', Zhaksybaev U. ↓, Nurymbet A. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th in the Relegation - First League and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 1.
Kaisar is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ordabasy shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ordabasy carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kaisar has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:30 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kaisar against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:11 goals (averaging 1.1:1 per game).