Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Kaysar Arena (Kyzylorda)

Referee: Ismuratov A. (Kaz)


	Kaisar		Zhetysu

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.05	2.92	Watch
	2.28	3.15	2.93
	2.35	3.1	2.95	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.44	3.08	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.75)	3.06 ↑ (2.89)	3.03 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaisar
39.8%

Draw
30%

Zhetysu
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

31.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaisar's performance.

Zhetysu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaisar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Kaisar - Zhetysu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kaisar will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaisar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salaydin N. (G) 93. Askarov S. 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S. 21. Serikuly D. 6. Kaldybekov E. 8. Abiken A. 24. Cuckic N. 7. Tazhibay B. 14. Jones T. 96. Mukhammed A.	88. Sicaci S. (G) 4. Kashken D. 15. Pajovic J. 5. Orynbassar R. 11. Dobay A. 10. Mosiashvili T. 7. Muzhikov S. 23. Baltabekov A. 9. Abzalov S. 77. Anuarbekov N. 90. Jovanovic S.
Substitutes
16. Azhikhan A. (G) 70. Ezekiel I. 15. Idrisov N. 47. Konlimkos B. 40. Kovac A. (G) 42. Miqueias 51. Mokhammad A. 18. Rustemuly D. 12. Sovet S. 23. Zhumat M.	8. Adakhadziev A. 2. Aslan R. 14. Birkurmanov M. 1. Egorov A. (G) 30. Ertis S. 19. Kovacevic M. 3. Luna D. 17. Nurbol N. 22. Podymskiy D. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M. 21. Zhakipbayev M. 27. Zivanovic M.
Coaches
Ferapontov A.	Nurdauletov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Mosiashvili T. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Anuarbekov N. ⚽, Baltabekov A. (A),
44', Tolegenov A. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Mukhammed A. ⚽, Kaldybekov E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jones T. ↓, Rustemuly D. ↑,
58', Mosiashvili T. ↓, Adakhadziev A. ↑,
59', Jovanovic S. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
71', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Miqueias ↑,
77', Sicaci S. ↓, Podymskiy D. ↑,
78', Anuarbekov N. ↓, Zivanovic M. ↑,
81', Mukhammed A. ↓, Ezekiel I. ↑,
87', Cuckic N. 🟨,
90+3', Kashken D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 1.

Kaisar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zhetysu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kaisar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaisar won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.5:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Kaisar - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Kaisar - Altai Semey	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atyrau - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.04.26	Talas Karatau - Kaisar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTLW
- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Zhetysu - Ulytau	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Zhetysu	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Zhetysu - Yelimay Semey	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.04.26	Karshiga - Zhetysu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
16.09.25	Zhetysu - Kaisar	1:1
31.05.25	Kaisar - Zhetysu	2:2
24.08.24	Kaisar - Zhetysu	0:0
22.06.24	Zhetysu - Kaisar	1:2
26.08.23	Kaisar - Zhetysu	1:1
15.04.23	Zhetysu - Kaisar	0:2
Kazakh First League
28.10.22	Kaisar - Zhetysu	0:0

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