Match Info

Stars League - Round 36

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Newroz		Karbala

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.5	5.75
	1.66	3.26	6.32	Watch
	1.51	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	3.52 ↓ (3.8)	6.09 ↓ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newroz
58.8%

Draw
26.1%

Karbala
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

24.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

23.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Karbala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newroz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (-2%)

Newroz - Karbala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Panom G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Newroz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karbala is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Newroz is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Newroz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
14.06.25	Arbil - Newroz	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Newroz - Zakho	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Newroz - Naft Al-Basra	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Newroz - Al-Naft	0:1 ✺
08.05.25	Najaf - Newroz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTLW
- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
13.06.25	Karbala - Al-Karma	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Al-Minaa - Karbala	3:1 ✺
13.05.25	Karbala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:4 ✺
06.05.25	Al-Talaba - Karbala	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Karbala - Arbil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.09.24	Karbala - Newroz	0:0
30.11.23	Newroz - Karbala	3:0
05.12.22	Karbala - Newroz	2:0

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