Match Info

J1 League - Round 22

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, ZhiBo8
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kashima Antlers		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.93	3.25	4
				Watch
	1.81	3.55	5.11
				Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.9
	1.76	3.68	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	4.47 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
51.4%

Draw
27.4%

Fagiano Okayama
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.1%	11.1%	2.8%

Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Kashima (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.03% – 99.11%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashima Antlers will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 7. Ogawa R. 25. Koike R. 6. Misao K. 20. Funabashi Y. 77. Cavric A. 40. Suzuki Y. 9. Leo Ceara	49. Brodersen S. (G) 2. Tatsuta Y. 18. Tagami D. 15. Kudo K. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 33. Kamiya Yuta 39. Sato R. 27. Kimura T. 8. Esaka A. 99. Lucao
Substitutes
4. Chida K. 13. Chinen K. 14. Higuchi Y. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 27. Matsumura Y. 28. Mizoguchi S. 10. Shibasaki G. 17. Talles Brener 23. Tsukui K.	4. Abe K. 22. Ichimi K. 19. Iwabuchi H. 77. Kawanami G. (G) 28. Matsumoto M. 26. Motoyama H. 17. Sueyoshi R. 7. Takeuchi R. 98. Werik Popo
Coaches
Oniki T.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Koike R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Esaka A. ⚽, Lucao (A),
53', Yanagi T. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Kamiya Yuta ⚽, Esaka A. (A),
64', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
64', Yanagi T. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
68', Ogawa R. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
68', Nono K. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
77', Cavric A. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
77', Misao K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
78', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
78', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
81', Funabashi Y. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
82', Shibasaki G. 🟨,
87', Esaka A. ↓, Sueyoshi R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Kashima is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Inactive) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kashima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
21.06.25	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Kashima Antlers - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWWL
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League
21.06.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
20.04.25	Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
22.09.16	Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama	2:1

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