Match Info

JAPAN: J1 LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima)

Referee: Koei K. (Jpn)


	Kashima Antlers		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.73	3.56	4.44	Watch
	1.8	3.76	4.79
	1.78	3.76	4.79
	1.7	3.6	4.33
	1.77	3.72	4.68	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)	3.7 ↓ (3.94)	4.57 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
53.8%

Draw
25.5%

Júbilo Iwata
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.9%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Kashima Antlers - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 32. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 2. Anzai K. 13. Chinen K. 30. Nago S. 15. Fujii T. 8. Doi S. 7. Cavric A. 40. Suzuki Y.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 15. Suzuki K. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 16. Leo Gomes 7. Uehara R. 14. Matsumoto M. 11. Germain R. 37. Hirakawa R. 99. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
77. Guilherme Parede 14. Higuchi Y. 37. Kakita Y. 27. Matsumura Y. 33. Nakama H. 16. Sugai H. 31. Yamada T. (G)	19. Bruno Jose 13. Fujikawa K. 77. Fujiwara K. 31. Furukawa Y. 21. Miura R. (G) 3. Morioka R. 26. Nishikubo S.
Coaches
Popovic R.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Nago S. 🟨,
23', Uehara R. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. (Pen),
41', Leo Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fujii T. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
61', Hirakawa R. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
73', Leo Gomes ↓, Fujiwara K. ↑,
73', Matsumoto M. ↓, Fujikawa K. ↑,
73', Nago S. ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
78', Cavric A. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
78', Doi S. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
89', Chinen K. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 2.

Kashima is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Iwata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Kashima is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Kashima won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
17.03.24	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.24	Kashima Antlers - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTWW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
16.03.24	Gamba Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Júbilo Iwata - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
01.03.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Júbilo Iwata	4:5 ✺
23.02.24	Júbilo Iwata - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.24	Kagoshima United - Júbilo Iwata	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
08.10.22	Júbilo Iwata - Kashima Antlers	3:3
03.05.22	Kashima Antlers - Júbilo Iwata	3:1
06.07.19	Kashima Antlers - Júbilo Iwata	2:0
30.03.19	Júbilo Iwata - Kashima Antlers	1:1
24.08.18	Kashima Antlers - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
18.07.18	Júbilo Iwata - Kashima Antlers	3:3
02.12.17	Júbilo Iwata - Kashima Antlers	0:0

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