The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagoya Grampus 30.5%
Draw 29.2%
Kashima Antlers 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
28%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
28.1%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
8.3%
91.7%
Nagoya Grampus - Kashima Antlers Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 76.1% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashima Antlers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Takeda Y. (G) 70. Hara T. 13. Fujii H. 3. Sato Y. 7. Izumi R. 15. Inagaki S. 14. Morishima T. 27. Nakayama K. 10. Mateus 11. Yamagishi Y. 18. Nagai K.
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 23. Tsukui K. 7. Ogawa R. 77. Cavric A. 20. Funabashi Y. 6. Misao K. 18. Elber 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.
Substitutes
9. Asano Y. 77. Junker K. 26. Kato G. 22. Kimura Y. 20. Mikuni K. 2. Nogami Y. 8. Shiihashi K. 21. Sugimoto D. (G) 55. Tokumoto S.
71. Araki R. 4. Chida K. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 25. Koike R. 27. Matsumura Y. 28. Mizoguchi S. 47. Motosuna A. 10. Shibasaki G. 34. Tokuda H.
Coaches
Hasegawa K.
Oniki T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Elber ⚽, Funabashi Y. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Cavric A. (A),
26', Leo Ceara ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
33', Fujii H. 🟨,
36', Cavric A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Hara T. 🟨,
55', Hara T. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
68', Elber ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
68', Suzuki Y. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
71', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
71', Mateus ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
84', Izumi R. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
84', Cavric A. ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,
85', Funabashi Y. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Tokuda H. ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
90', 0 - 4, Tokuda H. ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
Recent performances by Nagoya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kashima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Kawazura A.
(Ankle Injury)
Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Chinen K.
(Yellow Cards)
Kim Tae-Hyeon
(Yellow Cards)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Uchida T.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.45%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Takeda Y. (G) 
Mateus 
Cavric A. 
Junker K. 
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