Match Info

J1 League - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Cerezo Osaka		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.8
	2.29	3.41	2.87	Watch
	2.33	3.6	2.91	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.38	3.62	2.8	Watch
	2.31	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.46)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	2.83 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
40.1%

Draw
26.9%

Kashima Antlers
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.2%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Kashima will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kashima (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fukui K. (G) 16. Okuda H. 3. Shindo R. 33. Nishio R. 6. Noborizato K. 10. Tanaka S. 38. Kitano S. 13. Nakajima M. 77. Fernandes L. 9. Rafael Ratao 11. Thiago Andrade	1. Hayakawa T. (G) 25. Koike R. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 2. Anzai K. 19. Morooka S. 14. Higuchi Y. 10. Shibasaki G. 27. Matsumura Y. 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.
Substitutes
14. Funaki K. 19. Homma S. 8. Kagawa S. 5. Kida H. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 17. Sakata R. 22. Takahashi N. 7. Uejo S. 55. Vitor Bueno	71. Araki R. 77. Cavric A. 13. Chinen K. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 6. Misao K. 11. Tagawa K. 17. Talles Brener 23. Tsukui K.
Coaches
Papastamatis A.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Morooka S. 🟨,
34', Kitano S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Suzuki Y. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
65', Matsumura Y. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
71', Morooka S. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
72', Higuchi Y. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
80', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
81', Tsukui K. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
85', Leo Ceara 🟨,
89', Kitano S. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
90+9', Rafael Ratao (Pen),
90+13', 1 - 0, Shindo R. ⚽,
90+14', Fernandes L. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hatanaka S. (Injury) Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kashima: Shimoda Y. (Inactive) Tokuda H. (Inactive)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 13:31 (average 0.7:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 4:21 (average 0.4:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Cerezo Osaka	1:5 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.03.25	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWL
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga	3:4 ✺
02.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Tochigi City - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
30.11.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers	0:2
02.03.24	Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
16.09.23	Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka	1:0
07.05.23	Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers	0:1
06.07.22	Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka	3:3
29.04.22	Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers	0:3
Japan J League Cup
13.04.22	Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers	1:3

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