Match Info

J1 League - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Fukuda Denshi Arena (Chiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JEF United Chiba		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.75	1.81	Watch
	3.50	3.60	1.95
	3.35	3.50	2.00	Watch
	3.66	3.93	2.00
	3.37	3.6	2.09	Watch
	3.60	3.90	1.94
	3.82	3.89	1.87	Watch
	3.65	3.75	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.9)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)	1.95 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JEF United Chiba
26.5%

Draw
25.2%

Gamba Osaka
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JEF United Chiba's form might have worsened.

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gamba Osaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

JEF United Chiba - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Suarez J. (C) 39. Ishio R. 66. Hall D. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 18. Sugiyama N. 25. Matheus Indio 5. Kobayashi Y. 8. Tsukui T. 20. Ishikawa D. 29. Yamura K.	22. Ichimori J. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 67. Sasaki S. 47. Nakano S. 13. Abe S. 16. Suzuki T. 20. Adams E. 11. Jebali I. 8. Meshino R. 23. Hummet D.
Substitutes
6. Eduardo 99. Erison 9. Goya H. 22. Iida T. 3. Kuboniwa R. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 4. Taguchi T. 14. Tsubaki N. 11. Yonekura K.	18. Araki R. (G) 2. Fukuoka S. 21. Hatsuse R. 19. Ikegaya G. 10. Kurata S. 37. Nakatsumi N. 60. Okamoto A. 39. Sumi K. 35. Tono T.
Coaches
Kobayashi Y.	Myojin T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Yamura K. ⚽, Ishio R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Tsukui T. ⚽,
55', Sugiyama N. 🟨,
59', Suzuki T. ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
59', Nakano S. ↓, Hatsuse R. ↑,
59', Sasaki S. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
61', Yamura K. ↓, Goya H. ↑,
68', Goya H. 🟨,
78', Ishio R. ↓, Iida T. ↑,
78', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Taguchi T. ↑,
84', Tsukui T. ↓, Tsubaki N. ↑,
84', Matheus Indio ↓, Eduardo ↑,
85', Meshino R. ↓, Tono T. ↑,
90+2', Adams E. ↓, Okamoto A. ↑,

Preview

Recent form of JEF United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gamba Osaka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in JEF United: Ueda Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Handa R. (Knee Injury) Juanpe (Muscle Injury) Miura G. (Inactive) Okunuki K. (Inactive) Welton (Inactive) Yokoi Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, JEF United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Gamba Osaka: 0.71% Chiba: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5
20	Chiba	4	0	0	4	2:13	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
21.08.26	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Machida Zelvia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.17	Gamba Osaka - JEF United Chiba	2:0

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