Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gamba Osaka		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.91	Watch
	3.60	3.40	1.98
	3.45	3.3	2.02	Watch
	3.68	3.69	2.05
	3.52	3.4	2.11	Watch
	3.65	3.65	2.02
	4.18	3.36	1.94	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.43)	3.45 ↑ (3.42)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
25.5%

Draw
27.4%

Vissel Kobe
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	46.2%	38.5%

Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ichimori J. (G) 28. Fujiwara S. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 2. Fukuoka S. 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 11. Jebali I. 8. Meshino R. 41. Toshida Y.	71. Gonda S. (G) 17. Takahashi I. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler M. 15. Diego 7. Ideguchi Y. 24. Sakai G. 5. Goke Y. 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 41. Nagato K.
Substitutes
20. Adams E. 1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 23. Hummet D. 19. Ikegaya G. 10. Kurata S. 47. Nakano S. 39. Sumi K. 16. Suzuki T. 7. Usami T.	16. Caetano 94. Erik 44. Hidaka M. 2. Iino N. 23. Iwamoto Y. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 1. Maekawa D. (G)
Coaches
Myojin T.	Skibbe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Abe S. 🟨,
45+3', Nakatani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sakai G. ↓, Iwamoto Y. ↑,
46', Goke Y. ↓, Erik ↑,
63', Toshida Y. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
70', Yamashita R. 🟨,
73', Nagato K. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
80', Meshino R. ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
80', Fujiwara S. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
87', Yamashita R. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Erik ⚽, Jean Patric (A),
90+3', Osako Y. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.

Gamba Osaka has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Vissel Kobe is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Vissel Kobe holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Gamba Osaka: Handa R. (Knee Injury) Miura G. (Knee Injury) Okunuki K. (Foot Injury) Uenaka A. (Knee Injury) Welton (Knee Injury) Yokoi Y. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Vissel Kobe: Ogihara T. (Knee Injury) Sasaki D. (Knee Injury) Tominaga N. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:30 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gamba Osaka against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 1.5:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.8%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Gamba Osaka - Cong An Ha Noi	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.09.26	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	JEF United Chiba - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLTT
- Vissel Kobe
AFC Champions League
16.09.26	Thai Port - Vissel Kobe	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.09.26	Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Vissel Kobe - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
02.05.26	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	5:0
18.03.26	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	2:3 penalties
09.11.25	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	1:1
17.05.25	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	3:2
Japan Emperors Cup
23.11.24	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	0:1
Japan J1 League
17.08.24	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	2:2
22.06.24	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	2:1

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