Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Kashiwa Reysol		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.5	4.1
	1.8	3.55	4.1	Watch
	1.84	3.35	4.2
	1.88	3.6	4.57
	1.83	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.54	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.53 ↓ (3.74)	4.24 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashiwa Reysol
51.1%

Draw
26.7%

Oita Trinita
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

17.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kashiwa Reysol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oita Trinita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kashiwa Reysol - Oita Trinita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Oita Trinita is Relegated to J2 League

Kashiwa has the most likely position - 14 (58.32%), has project points - 42, has currently - 41, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Oita Trinita has the most likely position - 18 (100%), has project points - 33, has currently - 32, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Kashiwa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oita Trinita is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Kashiwa is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
27.11.21	Consadole Sapporo - Kashiwa Reysol	3:1 ✺
20.11.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
03.11.21	Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
22.10.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWLL
- Oita Trinita
Japan J1 League
27.11.21	Oita Trinita - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
20.11.21	Kashima Antlers - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Oita Trinita - Gamba Osaka	2:3 ✺
03.11.21	Avispa Fukuoka - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.10.21	Júbilo Iwata - Oita Trinita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
17.04.21	Oita Trinita - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1
09.12.20	Kashiwa Reysol - Oita Trinita	1:1
23.08.20	Oita Trinita - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0
Japan J League Cup
12.08.20	Kashiwa Reysol - Oita Trinita	3:1
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.17	Kashiwa Reysol - Oita Trinita	2:0
Japan J1 League
10.08.13	Oita Trinita - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0
30.03.13	Kashiwa Reysol - Oita Trinita	3:1

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