Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 10

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Kataller Toyama		Gainare Tottori

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.9	3.25	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.96
	1.98	3.25	3.96
	1.83	3.2	3.7
	1.92	3.33	3.86	Watch
	1.96	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.77)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	3.79 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
47.7%

Draw
28.2%

Gainare Tottori
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

29.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 20. Oyama M. 2. Wakimoto K. 14. Shimodo R. 25. Yasumitsu S. 24. Kawai Y. 16. Sueki H. 18. Ito T. 33. Takahashi Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 11. Matsumoto K.	39. Sakuraba R. (G) 8. Tanaka K. 41. Oshiro K. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 10. Sese H. 14. Fukoin M. 15. Higashide S. 9. Togashi Y. 18. Tanaka S. 17. Ozawa H.
Substitutes
28. Fuseya S. 4. Kamiyama K. 8. Matsuoka D. 30. Osako A. 31. Saito K. (G) 17. Tsubokawa H. 9. Usui S.	21. Ioka K. (G) 7. Matsuki S. 27. Nishida Y. 3. Sakamoto K. 34. Soga D. 13. Takao R. 20. Tsunesayu M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Yoshihira T. ⚽,
12', Oyama M. ↓, Osako A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Togashi Y. ↓, Tsunesayu M. ↑,
46', Ozawa H. ↓, Matsuki S. ↑,
61', Matsumoto K. ↓, Usui S. ↑,
61', Ito T. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Yasumitsu S. ⚽, Osako A. (A),
73', Sese H. 🟨,
76', Tanaka S. ↓, Takao R. ↑,
76', Higashide S. ↓, Nishida Y. ↑,
82', Kawai Y. ↓, Tsubokawa H. ↑,
82', Sueki H. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
85', Sese H. ↓, Soga D. ↑,
89', Fuseya S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 2.

Recent matches Kataller Toyama is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gainare Tottori is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gainare Tottori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kataller Toyama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Kataller Toyama won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
10.04.24	Gifu - Kataller Toyama	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Ryūkyū - Kataller Toyama	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Fukushima United - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
20.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLTW
- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
10.04.24	Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Gainare Tottori - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Gainare Tottori - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	YSCC - Gainare Tottori	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Gainare Tottori - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
22.10.23	Gainare Tottori - Kataller Toyama	1:2
11.06.23	Kataller Toyama - Gainare Tottori	0:0
27.08.22	Gainare Tottori - Kataller Toyama	3:0
29.04.22	Kataller Toyama - Gainare Tottori	3:2
26.09.21	Kataller Toyama - Gainare Tottori	0:2
30.05.21	Gainare Tottori - Kataller Toyama	0:3
03.10.20	Kataller Toyama - Gainare Tottori	0:3

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