Match Info

J2 League - Round 14

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.91	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.6	3.45	1.95	Watch
	3.96	3.7	1.93
	3.22	3.27	2.2
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.89	3.49	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.45	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.15)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	2.04 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
26.7%

Draw
27.6%

V-Varen Nagasaki
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

27.5%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.3%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Kataller Toyama - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Hirao T. (G) 28. Fuseya S. 26. Nabeta A. 4. Kamiyama K. 2. Yoshida A. 33. Takahashi Y. 16. Sueki H. 13. Fukazawa S. 27. Yoshihira T. 10. Matsuda R. 58. Take H.	21. Goto M. (G) 23. Yoneda S. 25. Kushibiki K. 48. Teruyama H. 17. Takahata K. 6. Abe T. 10. Matheus Jesus 34. Matsumoto T. 36. Aoki S. 9. Juanma Delgado 8. Masuyama A.
Substitutes
17. Inoue N. 18. Ito T. 24. Kawai Y. 8. Matsuoka D. 23. Nishiya S. 21. Okubo T. (G) 40. Takeuchi Y. 48. Ueda K. 9. Usui S.	29. Arai I. 31. Harada G. (G) 7. Marcos Guilherme 38. Matsuzawa K. 14. Nagura T. 19. Sawada T. 3. Sekiguchi M. 5. Yamaguchi H. 18. Yamasaki R.
Coaches
Otagiri M.	Shimotaira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Take H. ⚽, Fukazawa S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Aoki S. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
46', Abe T. ↓, Yamaguchi H. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Juanma Delgado ⚽, Masuyama A. (A),
47', Matsumoto T. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Masuyama A. (A),
62', Yoshihira T. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
62', Fukazawa S. ↓, Ueda K. ↑,
69', Matsuda R. ↓, Usui S. ↑,
72', Masuyama A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
83', Take H. ↓, Inoue N. ↑,
83', Takahashi Y. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
84', Matheus Jesus ↓, Nagura T. ↑,
86', Goto M. 🟨,
89', Teruyama H. 🟨,
90+2', Matsumoto T. ↓, Sawada T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 10).

Kataller Toyama has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

V-Varen Nagasaki's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

V-Varen Nagasaki will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
03.05.25	Omiya Ardija - Kataller Toyama	2:2 ✺
29.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Tokushima Vortis - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Iwaki	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLLW
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
03.05.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime	1:1 ✺
29.04.25	Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
25.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Iwaki	3:4 ✺
19.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
31.08.14	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kataller Toyama	2:0
28.06.14	Kataller Toyama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
20.07.13	Kataller Toyama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1

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