Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday

Location: Sportpark De Krom (Katwijk)

Referee: Smit N. (Ned)


	Katwijk		Almere City

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.8
	3.75	3.7	1.73
	4	4	1.78	Watch
	4.84	4.59	1.52
	3.82	3.99	1.76
	3.7	3.8	1.73
	4.05	4	1.77
	3.95	3.8	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (5.78)	3.96 ↓ (4.55)	1.73 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katwijk
22.9%

Draw
23.5%

Almere City
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

20.4%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

19%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katwijk's performance.

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katwijk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Katwijk - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Katwijk will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Almere City will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Katwijk: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Leeuwen J. (G) 15. Sinteur B. 18. Blokland K. 4. Susan R. (C) 5. Kok P. 14. Kunst D. 6. van der Meer R. 25. Janmaat F. 7. Doesburg R. 9. Brandsma S. 3. Ravensbergen J.	18. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 3. Jacobs Jo. 22. Barbet T. 2. Floranus S. (C) 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 15. Koopmeiners P. 6. Pena A. 19. Cathline Y. 10. Duijvestijn L. 9. Robinet T. 17. Hansen K.
Substitutes
10. Bakker D. 21. Bouwense L. 23. de Vries M. (G) 2. El Baad O. 11. Hardijk M. 27. Pinas J. 8. Schulte R. 22. Tros K. 17. Wolters R. 16. Yamaguchi K. 32. Zuyderduyn K. (G)	1. Bakker N. (G) 21. Corryn M. 11. Kitala Y. 5. Mbe Soh L. 14. Pascu 8. Post D. 32. Puriel J. 28. Resink S. 23. Royo M. 4. van Bruggen D. 52. van der Wilt J. (G) 27. van La Parra R.
Coaches
Correia A.	Pastoor A.

Preview

Katwijk in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Almere City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Almere City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV Katwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
16.12.23	HHC Hardenberg - Katwijk	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Katwijk - ACV	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Excelsior Maassluis - Katwijk	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Katwijk	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	Katwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
17.12.23	Almere City - Vitesse	5:0 ✺
09.12.23	AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	4:1 ✺
01.12.23	Heerenveen - Almere City	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	0:5 ✺
12.11.23	Almere City - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLT

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