Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Jan Louwers Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	FC Eindhoven		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.32	3.7	2.72
	2.5	3.65	2.74
	2.63	3.23	2.63	Watch
	2.35	3.66	2.63	Watch
	1.83	3.9	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.72)	3.59 ↓ (4.1)	2.82 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
40.2%

Draw
26.3%

Vitesse
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

22.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitesse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitesse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	15.8%	52.6%

FC Eindhoven - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Vitesse will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Vitesse (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vitesse will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Eindhoven (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Vitesse (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Brondeel J. (G) 2. Simons T. 24. Renfrum O. 33. Neeskens J. 25. Douglas T. 7. Blummel S. 5. Huisman D. (C) 6. Dorenbosch D. 8. Simons S. 28. Haddaoui Z. 32. Janga R.	31. Brull M. (G) 24. Markelo N. 55. Steffen M. (C) 17. Zumberi V. 2. Bonnah S. 20. Bannis N. 6. Schikora M. 33. Marschalk M. 7. Hoogewerf D. 19. Tahaui A. 9. Huth E.
Substitutes
1. Borgmans J. (G) 20. Bryson A. 19. de Moes S. 22. Essers C. 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 21. Muller T. 18. Munsters N. 80. Mununga T. 9. van Veen K. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)	35. Achouitar O. 5. Bakker J. 32. de Beer J. 30. Driezen M. 8. Moustafa A. 34. Ouallil Y. 13. Pinto J. 11. Ranon Y. 29. Rodrigues M. 23. Siecker J. (G) 16. van den Berg C. (G) 27. Zonneveld N.
Coaches
Verberne M.	Rehm R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Blummel S. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Tahaui A. ⚽, Zumberi V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Brondeel J. ↓, Borgmans J. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Schikora M. ⚽, Marschalk M. (A),
60', Hoogewerf D. 🟨,
62', Bannis N. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
62', Dorenbosch D. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Pinto J. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
69', Marschalk M. ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
69', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
73', Haddaoui Z. ↓, van Veen K. ↑,
73', Blummel S. ↓, Essers C. ↑,
77', van Veen K. 🟨,
81', Moustafa A. 🟨,
84', Tahaui A. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
84', Tahaui A. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
84', Lukoki Mateso E. 🟨,
87', 0 - 4, Zonneveld N. ⚽, Huth E. (A),
90+1', Simons S. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20).

FC Eindhoven is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vitesse is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

FC Eindhoven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.10.25	Emmen - FC Eindhoven	6:0 ✺
03.10.25	MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
30.09.25	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.10.25	Almere City - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
06.10.25	Vitesse - Den Bosch	N/A ✺
03.10.25	Vitesse - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Emmen - Vitesse	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Vitesse - Willem II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 T?WWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.03.25	FC Eindhoven - Vitesse	3:3
30.08.24	Vitesse - FC Eindhoven	1:1

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