Match Info

League One - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: New Central Park (Kelty)


	Kelty Hearts		Peterhead

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.38
	2.82	3.2	2.38
	2.85	3.39	2.38
	3.19	3.58	2.1	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.88	3.14	2.49	Watch
	2.71	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.44)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	2.35 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
32.3%

Draw
28.5%

Peterhead
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

27.9%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kelty Hearts's performance.

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterhead might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Kelty Hearts - Peterhead Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kelty Hearts (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gourlay K. (G) 12. Fisher S. 20. Corr D. 35. Brydon J. 3. Paterson B. 6. Ferguson A. 15. Clay C. (C) 18. Pettifer A. 7. Moore L. 14. Graham J. 17. McCarvel L.	1. Newman J. (G) 2. Strachan D. 5. Brown J. (C) 46. Kerr J. 3. Duffy F. 21. Forrest D. 8. McCarthy A. 7. McGuffie C. 17. Smith C. 77. Barry M. 10. Shanks K.
Substitutes
21. Adamson R. (G) 8. Arnott A. 19. Bexfield C. 24. Cooper C. 26. Cunningham R. 30. Leitch G. 10. Murray I. 2. Thomas M. 27. Wyllie J.	18. Brown J. 24. Lister H. 20. McGinn N. 16. Ross M. 22. Ross S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, McGuffie C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Paterson B. 🟨,
60', Pettifer A. ↓, Murray I. ↑,
60', Graham J. ↓, Cunningham R. ↑,
64', Barry M. ↓, Ross S. ↑,
71', McGuffie C. ↓, McGinn N. ↑,
73', Fisher S. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
80', McCarthy A. 🟨,
82', Murray I. 🟨,
84', Duffy F. ↓, Lister H. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Cunningham R. ⚽,
90+1', Brown J. 🟨,
90+1', Gourlay K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 1.

Kelty Hearts is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Peterhead has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Peterhead might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kelty Hearts won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Kelty Hearts: 5.2% Peterhead: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Peterhead - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 45.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish Cup
07.02.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:0 ✺
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:1 penalties ✺
Scottish League One
10.01.26	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLWL
- Peterhead
Scottish League One
10.02.26	Montrose - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Peterhead - Hamilton Academical	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	East Fife - Peterhead	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
13.12.25	Peterhead - Kelty Hearts	3:2
04.10.25	Kelty Hearts - Peterhead	1:2
Scottish League Cup
23.07.24	Kelty Hearts - Peterhead	0:1
Scottish League One
29.04.23	Kelty Hearts - Peterhead	2:1
25.02.23	Peterhead - Kelty Hearts	1:1
03.12.22	Kelty Hearts - Peterhead	3:0
17.09.22	Peterhead - Kelty Hearts	2:1

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