Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: New Central Park (Kelty)


	Kelty Hearts		St. Mirren 2

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	3.4
	1.78	4.15	3.6
	1.78	4.13	3.53
	2.09	2.92	3.82	Watch
	1.77	3.9	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.57)	3.8 ↓ (4.1)	3.64 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
50.4%

Draw
24.3%

St. Mirren 2
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kelty Hearts's form might have worsened.

St. Mirren 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Mirren 2's recent form is better than expected.

Kelty Hearts - St. Mirren 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Mirren 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Douglas L. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Diack R. ⚽, McInally D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 1, Diack R. ⚽, Brydon J. (A),

Preview

Kelty Hearts is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kelty Hearts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kelty Hearts is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kelty Hearts won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
07.10.25	Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Kelty Hearts - Peterhead	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	0:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
23.09.25	Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts	3:3 ✺
Scottish League One
20.09.25	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWTL
- St. Mirren 2
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.09.25	Hamilton Academical - St. Mirren 2	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Annan Athletic - St. Mirren 2	2:2 ✺
26.08.25	Alloa Athletic - St. Mirren 2	2:3 ✺
12.08.25	Dumbarton - St. Mirren 2	4:2 ✺
30.07.24	Berwick Rangers - St. Mirren 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
10.08.21	St. Mirren 2 - Kelty Hearts	2:1 penalties

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