Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Kenya CB		Police FC

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.72	2.38
	3.44	2.57	2.42	Watch
	3.2	2.6	2.3
	3.2	2.74	2.36
	3.4	2.54	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.7)	2.63 ↓ (2.9)	2.36 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya CB
27.7%

Draw
34.2%

Police FC
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kenya CB's form might have worsened.

Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kenya CB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Kenya CB - Police FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Police (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Police (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KCB won 1.

KCB is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Police's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, KCB won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, KCB won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	KCB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Police FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Kenya CB - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.9%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
20.12.25	Kenya CB - Shabana	1:3 ✺
16.12.25	Kenya CB - APS Bomet	4:2 ✺
11.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWT
- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
22.12.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Police FC	2:2 ✺
18.12.25	Muranga Seal - Police FC	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Police FC - AFC Leopards	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Police FC	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Police FC - Shabana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
26.04.25	Kenya CB - Police FC	1:2
26.11.24	Police FC - Kenya CB	1:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.24	Police FC - Kenya CB	1:0 penalties
Kenyan Premier League
13.04.24	Kenya CB - Police FC	0:1
16.12.23	Police FC - Kenya CB	1:2
20.11.22	Police FC - Kenya CB	0:1
08.03.22	Police FC - Kenya CB	1:1

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