Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 6
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2


	Khimki		Rubin Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.5	3.39
	2.29	3.57	3.36	Watch
	2	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.81)	3.36 ↓ (3.63)	3.22 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimki
43.1%

Draw
27.8%

Rubin Kazan
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimki's performance.

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Khimki - Rubin Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Khimki will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Khimki (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Kokarev N. (G) 17. Berkovskiy I. 72. Fernandez D. 14. Dzhikiya G. 25. Filin A. 5. Stepanov D. 18. Bakaev Z. 97. Magomedov B. 22. Mejia R. 32. Vera L. 91. Zabolotnyi A.	38. Staver E. (G) 70. Kabutov D. 2. Teslenko E. 15. Vujacic I. (C) 27. Gritsaenko A. 51. Rozhkov I. 30. Vada V. 6. Iwu U. 8. Jocic B. 10. Daku M. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D.
Substitutes
29. Amian B. 77. Corredera A. 24. Farina E. 2. Golubovic P. 55. Kaplenko K. 6. Melentijevic S. 11. Mirzov R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 99. Orinho 9. Rudenko A. 7. Sadygov I. 93. Tuseev I. (G)	18. Apshatsev M. 5. Ashurmatov R. 23. Bezrukov R. 24. Cumic N. 90. Cuni M. 39. Ezhov I. (G) 19. Ivanov O. 87. Mukba E. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 71. Nizhegorodov K. 96. Vasiljev N. 21. Zotov A.
Coaches
Adiev M.	Rakhimov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Zabolotnyi A. ⚽, Vera L. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Daku M. ⚽, Vada V. (A),
36', Iwu U. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
43', Daku M. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Daku M. ⚽,
61', Bakaev Z. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
61', Magomedov B. ↓, Corredera A. ↑,
62', Berkovskiy I. ↓, Farina E. ↑,
62', Farina E. 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Rudenko A. ⚽,
73', Kabutov D. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
73', Jocic B. ↓, Apshatsev M. ↑,
76', Farina E. 🟥,
79', Stepanov D. ↓, Orinho ↑,
81', Filin A. 🟨,
88', Zabolotnyi A. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Rudenko A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimki won 2.

Khimki is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Khimki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Khimki: Farina E. (Muscle Injury) Luna D. (Injury)

There will not play in Rubin: Cuni M. (Injury) Hodza V. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Khimki won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Khimki won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khimki
Russian Premier League
10.05.25	Orenburg - Khimki	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Khimki - Rostov	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Khimki - Akron Tolyatti	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Zenit - Khimki	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Khimki - Krylya Sovetov	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTLL
- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
11.05.25	Rubin Kazan - Rostov	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Rubin Kazan - Fakel	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Dynamo Moscow - Rubin Kazan	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
03.08.24	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	2:3
01.04.22	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	2:3
Club Friendly
05.02.22	Khimki - Rubin Kazan	0:0
Russian Premier League
22.08.21	Khimki - Rubin Kazan	1:1
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	1:0
Russian Premier League
19.03.21	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	1:3
Club Friendly
02.02.21	Rubin Kazan - Khimki	2:2

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