Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Ak Bars Arena (Kazan)

Referee: Kukuyan P. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1


	Rubin Kazan		Rostov

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.41	3.48
	2.23	3.63	3.43	Watch
	2.02	3.4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)	3.48 ↓ (3.69)	3.45 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Kazan
44.6%

Draw
27.6%

Rostov
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rubin Kazan - Rostov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Rubin (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rubin Kazan will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rubin Kazan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubin (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Staver E. (G) 2. Teslenko E. 5. Vujacic I. (C) 27. Gritsaenko A. 6. Iwu U. 70. Kabutov D. 8. Jocic B. 22. Hodza V. 51. Rozhkov I. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D. 10. Daku M.	1. Yatimov R. (G) 40. Vakhania I. 4. Melekhin V. 3. Sako O. 57. Zhbanov I. 8. Mironov A. 58. Shantaliy D. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 7. Ronaldo 69. Golenkov E. 99. Suleymanov T.
Substitutes
18. Apshatsev M. 23. Bezrukov R. 24. Cumic N. 39. Ezhov I. (G) 19. Ivanov O. 77. Jukic A. 9. Lomovitskiy A. 87. Mukba E. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 4. Nizhegorodov K. 96. Vasiljev N. 21. Zotov A.	17. Ajasa I. M. 19. Bayramyan K. 62. Komarov I. 87. Langovich A. 9. Mohebi M. 71. Odoevski D. (G) 5. Prokhin D. 39. Radchenko M. 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 10. Shchetinin K. 6. Tarasov A.
Coaches
Rakhimov R.	Alba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Melekhin V. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Kabutov D. ⚽, Iwu U. (A),
73', Golenkov E. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
73', Vakhania I. ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
76', Iwu U. 🟨,
79', Sako O. 🟨,
80', Jocic B. ↓, Jukic A. ↑,
81', Kuchaev K. ↓, Prokhin D. ↑,
81', Shantaliy D. ↓, Shchetinin K. ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', Yatimov R. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', Kabutov D. 🟨,
90+1', Kabutov D. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
90+1', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
90+1', Suleymanov T. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.

Rubin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rostov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rubin might have a minor edge in this game.

There are questionable in Rubin: Drezgic U. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rostov: Chistyakov D. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Kazan
Russian Cup
12.08.25	Zenit - Rubin Kazan	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
09.08.25	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	5:1 ✺
04.08.25	Rubin Kazan - Sochi	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
31.07.25	Rubin Kazan - Orenburg	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.07.25	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWT
- FC Rostov
Russian Cup
14.08.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
10.08.25	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Rostov - Krylya Sovetov	1:4 ✺
Russian Cup
30.07.25	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
26.07.25	Dynamo Moscow - Rostov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
11.05.25	Rubin Kazan - Rostov	1:0
09.08.24	Rostov - Rubin Kazan	1:1
11.05.24	Rubin Kazan - Rostov	3:1
Russian Cup
20.09.23	Rubin Kazan - Rostov	1:2 penalties
Russian Premier League
12.08.23	Rostov - Rubin Kazan	3:0
Russian Cup
26.07.23	Rostov - Rubin Kazan	1:0
Russian Premier League
14.03.22	Rubin Kazan - Rostov	1:2

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