Match Info

National League - Round 22

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Morecambe		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.75
	2.25	3.55	2.78
	2.34	3.76	2.8
	2.26	3.83	2.73	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.75
	2.26	3.44	2.73
	2.3	3.66	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	2.76 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
40.7%

Draw
25.8%

Boston United
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Morecambe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Morecambe - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Blackman J. (G) 6. Francillette L. 5. Kacurri M. 2. Payne L. 20. Sangare M. 28. Sutton E. 36. Nolan J. 8. Azeez M. (C) 10. Cain J. 32. Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B.	1. Lovett R. (G) 40. Lavinier M. 23. Crowther A. 26. Gallagher O. 15. Carson M. 19. Richards J. 6. Sloggett G. (C) 24. Aboh K. 10. Maguire F. 8. Hill D. 14. John-Lewis L. N.
Substitutes
12. Aarons R. 19. Campbell M. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 17. Lewis P. 1. Mair A. (G) 9. Panayiotou H. 14. Sesay A.	44. Barrett K. (G) 11. Donnelly K. 18. Fogarty T. 2. Grist B. 16. Hiwula J. 17. Lankshear A. 4. Teale C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
23', 0 - 1, John-Lewis L. N. ⚽, Carson M. (A),
31', Sloggett G. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Hill D. ⚽, John-Lewis L. N. (A),
42', 0 - 3, John-Lewis L. N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Sangare M. 🟨,
56', Cain J. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
75', John-Lewis L. N. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
77', Azeez M. 🟨,
81', Aboh K. ↓, Teale C. ↑,
85', Maguire F. ↓, Donnelly K. ↑,
85', Carson M. ↓, Lankshear A. ↑,
87', Azeez M. ↓, Aarons R. ↑,
88', Sutton E. ↓, Panayiotou H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Morecambe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boston United has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Morecambe - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.66%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
29.11.25	Braintree Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Morecambe - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
18.11.25	Morecambe - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	York City - Morecambe	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Morecambe - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWLT
- Boston United
English National League
29.11.25	Yeovil Town - Boston United	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Boston United - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Woking - Boston United	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Boston United - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
05.11.25	Altrincham - Boston United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.10.25	Boston United - Morecambe	0:4

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