Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Southend United

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.38
	2.65	3	2.37
	2.85	3.1	2.5
	2.88	3.19	2.63
	2.84	3.19	2.64
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.75	3.13	2.51
	2.75	3.2	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.54)	3.15 ↓ (3.37)	2.48 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
33.3%

Draw
29.4%

Southend United
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

27.7%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

26.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kidderminster Harriers's performance.

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southend United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kidderminster Harriers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southend United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Kidderminster Harriers - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kidderminster will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Southend will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Southend: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dibble C. (G) 23. Byrne S. 10. Hemmings A. 24. Hobson B. 11. Lambert J. 19. McLean R. 6. McNally R. 27. Omotayo G. 5. Pearce K. 16. Preston M. 20. Robinson S.	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 7. Bridge J. 28. Coker O. 18. Fonguck W. 8. Husin N. 22. Kabongolo B. 6. Kensdale O. 3. Ralph N. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H. 20. Vilhete M.
Substitutes
18. Lissimore K. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 2. Penny A. 3. Richards C. 37. Tollitt B.	24. Demetriou J. 38. Sandat H. 14. Wood J.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Recent matches Kidderminster is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Southend is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
16.12.23	Maidenhead United - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Stourbridge	4:1 ✺
English National League
02.12.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Oxford City - Kidderminster Harriers	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTT
- Southend United
English National League
16.12.23	Southend United - Bromley	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Southend United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League
25.11.23	Gateshead - Southend United	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Southend United - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Altrincham - Southend United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.09.23	Southend United - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1

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