Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.25
	1.47	4.5	5.5
	1.49	4.68	5.35
	1.49	4.69	5.35
	1.4	4.4	5.5
	1.45	4.55	5.8
	1.47	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.31)	4.49 ↓ (5.5)	5.42 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
62.7%

Draw
20.4%

Stourbridge
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

16.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

16%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kidderminster Harriers's form might have worsened.

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-2%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Kidderminster is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stourbridge is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stourbridge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kidderminster is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
02.12.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Oxford City - Kidderminster Harriers	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Aldershot Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTLL
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
28.11.23	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Sudbury Town - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Stourbridge - Long Eaton United	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Stourbridge - King`s Lynn Town	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.23	Royston Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.19	Stourbridge - Kidderminster Harriers	4:0
English FA Cup
06.10.18	Stourbridge - Kidderminster Harriers	3:2
English FA Trophy
12.12.15	Stourbridge - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1
English FA Cup
24.10.15	Stourbridge - Kidderminster Harriers	3:0

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