Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.17	3.5	3.34
	2.18	3.5	3.34
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	2.1	3.46	3.16
	2.12	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.04)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	3.19 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
44%

Draw
27.1%

Ebbsfleet United
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dibble C. (G) 10. Hemmings A. 24. Hobson B. 11. Lambert J. 18. Lissimore K. 19. McLean R. 6. McNally R. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 5. Pearce K. (C) 16. Preston M. 20. Robinson S.	1. Cousins M. (G) 8. Cisse O. 15. Cundle G. 17. Edser T. 19. Fanimo M. 36. Kenlock M. 6. Olagunju M. 2. O'Neil L. 14. Poleon D. 31. Samuel D. 4. Wright J.
Substitutes
14. Brown Z. 15. McDonagh G. 2. Penny A. 3. Richards C. 37. Tollitt B.	24. Amoo D. 22. Chapman B. 11. McQueen D. 21. Odokonyero N. 10. Tanner C.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Kidderminster is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ebbsfleet is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kidderminster will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Kidderminster won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
25.11.23	Oxford City - Kidderminster Harriers	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Aldershot Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
25.11.23	Oldham Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:4 ✺
21.11.23	Ebbsfleet United - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	0:4 ✺
11.11.23	Hartlepool United - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Ebbsfleet United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.08.23	Ebbsfleet United - Kidderminster Harriers	3:0
English FA Trophy
14.01.17	Kidderminster Harriers - Ebbsfleet United	3:0
English National League
02.03.13	Kidderminster Harriers - Ebbsfleet United	3:2
06.10.12	Ebbsfleet United - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1

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