Match Info

Suomen Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)


	Klubi 04		IFK Mariehamn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	4	1.68
	5.15	4.65	1.43
	3.91	4.43	1.69	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	4.92	4.66	1.54	Watch
	5.15	4.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (2.35)	4.33 ↑ (3.7)	1.59 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Klubi 04
20.9%

Draw
21.2%

IFK Mariehamn
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

24.7%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

24.1%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Klubi 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Klubi 04's form might have worsened.

IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IFK Mariehamn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Klubi 04 than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Klubi 04, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	7.1%	85.7%

Klubi 04 - IFK Mariehamn Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Klubi 04 will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Mariehamn will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mariehamn: 67.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Mariehamn (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): IFK Mariehamn will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Klubi 04 (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Mariehamn (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
79. Tanska J. (G) 92. Ameen M. 48. Etu F. 51. Harden K. (C) 64. Harden P. 61. Konttas V. 45. Lahti R. 58. Noori H. 77. Rippon L. 96. Toivonen I. 43. Tuominen E.	90. Silva D. (G) 43. Andersson L. 10. Cardoso H. 14. Fonsell M. 23. Heyden J. (C) 16. Huttunen A. 26. Jansson M. 6. Kujasalo N. 21. Lundberg A. 28. Nissinen J. 19. Peterson M.
Substitutes
95. Baranov S. 67. Ingman E. 94. Kajanoja K. 1. Kiljunen J. 46. Nwachukwu F. 52. Toivonen A. 73. Traore A.	7. Adedoyin K. 8. Dahlstrom S. 33. Enqvist D. 17. Holmberg R. 30. Okereke E. 18. Olawale M. 11. Reid J. 80. Viitala J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Noori H. (Pen),
33', 1 - 1, Lundberg A. ⚽,
41', Heyden J. 🟨,
43', Toivonen I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Huttunen A. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
46', Cardoso H. ↓, Adedoyin K. ↑,
46', Heyden J. ↓, Holmberg R. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Peterson M. (Own goal),
61', Noori H. 🟨,
61', Kujasalo N. ↓, Dahlstrom S. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Ameen M. ⚽,
65', Etu F. ↓, Kajanoja K. ↑,
65', Noori H. ↓, Toivonen A. ↑,
65', Lahti R. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
69', Fonsell M. 🟨,
73', Rippon L. 🟨,
73', Jansson M. ↓, Olawale M. ↑,
78', Adedoyin K. 🟨,
83', Holmberg R. 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Rippon L. ⚽,
90+2', Rippon L. ↓, Ingman E. ↑,
90+2', Ameen M. ↓, Nwachukwu F. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 2, Reid J. (Pen),
90+8', 4 - 3, Reid J. (Pen),

Preview

Klubi 04 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mariehamn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mariehamn is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Klubi 04 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klubi 04
Finnish Ykkosliiga
01.06.25	KaPa - Klubi 04	0:5 ✺
Finnish Cup
29.05.25	Klubi 04 - EsPa	8:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.05.25	Klubi 04 - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	JIPPO - Klubi 04	0:3 ✺
18.05.25	Klubi 04 - TPS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWTWW
- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.05.25	KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn	2:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	IFK Mariehamn - TPS	3:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.05.25	IFK Mariehamn - HJK	0:4 ✺
17.05.25	Oulu - IFK Mariehamn	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	IFK Mariehamn - Inter Turku	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
28.01.18	IFK Mariehamn - Klubi 04	4:2

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