Match Info

J1 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	6.00	3.80	1.53	Watch
	5.50	4.10	1.55
	5.20	3.85	1.57	Watch
	5.80	4.25	1.63
	5.68	4.12	1.58	Watch
	5.70	4.20	1.56
	6.35	3.96	1.56	Watch
	5.80	4.10	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.75 ↑ (4.54)	4.05 ↑ (3.63)	1.57 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
16.4%

Draw
23.3%

Tokyo
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

26%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

V Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - V-Varen Nagasaki (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Tokyo (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 50%). Tokyo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goto M. (G) 50. Shindo R. 29. Arai I. 6. Egawa Y. 22. Onaga H. 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 24. Yamada R. 23. Yoneda S. 41. Hasegawa M. 8. Iwasaki Y. 9. Thiago	81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 24. Scholz A. 4. Inamura H. 6. Bangnagande K. 10. Sato K. 18. Hashimoto K. 8. Ko T. 19. Homma S. 26. Nagakura M. 9. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
11. Campbell N. 21. Diego Pituca 13. Hatano G. (G) 39. Kou R. 10. Matheus Jesus 19. Sawada T. 3. Sekiguchi M. 17. Takahata K. 7. Yasuda K.	7. Anzai S. 42. Hashimoto K. 22. Ishihara H. 25. Kominato T. 3. Morishige M. 39. Nakagawa T. 1. Tanaka H. (G) 27. Tokiwa K. 71. Yamada F.
Coaches
Takagi T.	Matsuhashi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Iwasaki Y. 🟨,
20', Arai I. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
37', 0 - 1, Nagakura M. ⚽, Bangnagande K. (A),
45+4', 0 - 2, Homma S. ⚽, Marcelo Ryan (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yamaguchi H. ↓, Yasuda K. ↑,
48', Ko T. 🟨,
55', 0 - 3, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Nagakura M. (A),
58', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
60', Bangnagande K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
60', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
60', Homma S. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
67', Nagakura M. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
70', Thiago ↓, Kou R. ↑,
70', Yamada R. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
77', Yoneda S. ↓, Matheus Jesus ↑,
78', Campbell N. 🟨,
79', Ko T. ↓, Tokiwa K. ↑,
83', Sato K. ↓, Ishihara H. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tokyo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano (Knee Injury) Nagura T. (Illness)

There will not play in Tokyo: Otani D. C. (Foot Injury) Vallys N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

FC Tokyo: 11.22% V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7
18	V-Varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4:9	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime	3:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
21.08.26	Kashiwa Reysol - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL
- FC Tokyo
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo - Nagano Parceiro	6:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
21.08.26	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Tokyo - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Tokyo - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:3 ET
Japan J1 League
27.07.18	Tokyo - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1
08.04.18	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo	2:5

Upcoming Matches