Match Info

J1 League - Round 3

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kashiwa Reysol		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.20	6.50	Watch
	1.47	4.40	6.00
	1.43	4.35	6.25	Watch
	1.48	4.65	7.04
	1.47	4.57	6.56	Watch
	1.47	4.55	6.60
	1.49	4.26	6.94	Watch
	1.46	4.50	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)	4.44 ↑ (3.73)	6.54 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashiwa Reysol
64.3%

Draw
21.3%

V-Varen Nagasaki
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kashiwa Reysol's performance.

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Kashiwa Reysol - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kashiwa Reysol will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 27. Kumasaka K. 39. Nakagawa N. 5. Endo K. 8. Koizumi Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 18. Kakita Y.	1. Goto M. (G) 25. Ominami T. 29. Arai I. 6. Egawa Y. 23. Yoneda S. 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 21. Diego Pituca 22. Onaga H. 41. Hasegawa M. 8. Iwasaki Y. 9. Thiago
Substitutes
88. Baba S. 40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 21. Konishi Y. 2. Mitsumaru H. 29. Nagai K. (G) 20. Segawa Y. 11. Watai M. 44. Yuba K.	13. Hatano G. (G) 45. Hyeung-jun N. 26. Ioka K. (G) 39. Kou R. 34. Matsumoto T. 19. Sawada T. 3. Sekiguchi M. 50. Shindo R. 24. Yamada R.
Coaches
Rodriguez R.	Takagi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Ominami T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diego Pituca ↓, Yamada R. ↑,
46', Yoneda S. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
46', Yamauchi H. ↓, Watai M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Kashiwa: Okubo T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Yamada Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Nagura T. (Illness)

There are questionable in Kashiwa: Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashiwa Reysol: 11.22% V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10:4	6	12
18	V-Varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4:9	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
14.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLW
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
17.08.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2
03.04.19	Kashiwa Reysol - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:0
Japan J1 League
25.08.18	Kashiwa Reysol - V-Varen Nagasaki	5:1
22.04.18	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0

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