Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 24

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Kotwica Kórnik		Wda Świecie

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.85
	2.07	3.5	3
	2.09	3.51	3.08	Watch
	2.08	3.54	3.04	Watch
	2.07	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.46)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	2.99 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kórnik
43.8%

Draw
25.9%

Wda Świecie
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

25.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

24.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kórnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kotwica Kórnik's performance.

Wda Świecie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wda Świecie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kórnik than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kotwica Kórnik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wda Świecie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kotwica Kórnik - Wda Świecie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Gielda J. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Siedlecki B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotwica Kórnik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Wda Świecie - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kotwica Kórnik
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.03.25	Elana Toruń - Kotwica Kórnik	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kotwica Kórnik	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Kotwica Kórnik - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Kotwica Kórnik	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Kotwica Kórnik - Lech Poznań 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLTLW
- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.03.25	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Wda Świecie	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Flota Świnoujście - Wda Świecie	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.09.24	Wda Świecie - Kotwica Kórnik	2:1

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