The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Krasnodar 68%
Draw 19.7%
Arsenal Tula 12.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.9%
21.8%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
13.5%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krasnodar's performance.
Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-29.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krasnodar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.6%
18.9%
13.5%
Krasnodar - Arsenal Tula Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 25 - 67.6%). Arsenal will win (votes: 5 - 13.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 52.5% – 82.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Krasnodar has the most likely position - 3 (12.59%), has project points - 48, has currently - 3, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (15%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Arsenal has the most likely position - 16 (19.41%), has project points - 29, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Krasnodar is absolute favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Krasnodar won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Krasnodar won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-0.
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