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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Tula 30.7%
Draw 29.7%
Rubin Kazan 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
26%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
25.9%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Arsenal Tula - Rubin Kazan Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rubin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Melikhov A. (G) 31. Bolshakov K. (C) 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 14. Brnovic M. 10. Gorbunov I. 29. Maksimov M. 27. Mirzov R. 4. Penchikov D. 8. Popov A. 21. Razdorskikh N. 22. Tsaraev A.
25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 18. Apshatsev M. 12. Arroyo A. 22. Hodza V. 70. Kabutov D. 14. Kuzyaev D. 98. Lobov N. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D. 43. Siwe J. 2. Teslenko E. 5. Vujacic I. (C)
Substitutes
17. Ahlinvi M. 59. Avanesyan T. 24. Azyavin I. 77. Berdnikov A. 19. Bogdanets K. 44. Isaenko O. 9. Kalmykov A. 45. Karmaev N. 78. Lipovoy D. 95. Obryvkov S. 5. Sergeev D. 18. Tsulaya M. (G)
23. Bezrukov R. 24. Cumic N. 39. Ezhov I. (G) 19. Ivanov O. 8. Jocic B. 87. Mukba E. 4. Nizhegorodov K. 51. Rozhkov I. 38. Staver E. (G) 96. Vasiljev N. 21. Zotov A.
Coaches
Gunko D.
Rakhimov R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Kuzyaev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Apshatsev M. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
62', Shabanhaxhaj D. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
70', Kabutov D. ↓, Rozhkov I. ↑,
70', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Avanesyan T. ↑,
70', Gorbunov I. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
71', Maksimov M. ↓, Kalmykov A. ↑,
77', 🟨,
85', Hodza V. ↓, Vasiljev N. ↑,
88', Botaka-Yoboma E. ↓, Karmaev N. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Bolshakov K. (Pen),
1, Bezrukov R. (Pen),
2, Kalmykov A. (Pen),
2, Vujacic I. (Pen),
3, Brnovic M. (Pen),
3, Vasiljev N. (Pen),
4, Penchikov D. (Pen),
4, Arroyo A. (Pen),
5, Mirzov R. (Pen),
5, Kuzyaev D. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1.
Arsenal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Rubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Rubin is a strong favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).
Russia
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Melikhov A. (G) 
Brnovic M. 
Arroyo A. 
Hodza V. 
Shabanhaxhaj D. 
Siwe J. 
Ahlinvi M. 
Avanesyan T. 
Cumic N. 
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