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Current Win Probability
Krasnodar 54.3%
Draw 23.8%
Dynamo Moscow 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
23.6%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
22.8%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
Krasnodar will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 3. Tormena 4. Diego Costa 15. Olaza L. 11. Joao Batxi 6. Lenini K. 88. Krivtsov N. 10. Spertsyan E. (C) 23. Boselli J. 9. Cordoba J.
99. Lunev A. (G) 7. Skopintsev D. 55. Osipenko M. 2. Marichal N. 4. Caceres J. 74. Fomin D. (C) 15. Glebov D. 10. Bitello 11. Arthur Gomes 91. Gladyshev Y. 70. Tyukavin K.
Substitutes
27. Burkin E. 90. Cobnan M. D. 66. Douglas Augusto 5. Jubal Junior 34. Karpenko A. (G) 59. Khmarin A. 16. Koryakin A. (G) 17. Paltsev V. 98. Petrov S.
30. Aleksandrov D. 17. Babaev U. 24. Chavez L. 57. David Ricardo 6. Fernandez R. 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 5. Majstorovic M. 60. Marinkin T. 88. Okishor V. 40. Rasulov K. (G) 33. Sergeev I. 56. Zaydenzal L.
Coaches
Musaev M.
Gusev R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Skopintsev D. 🟨,
27', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez G. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
46', Tormena ↓, Jubal Junior ↑,
59', Boselli J. ↓, Douglas Augusto ↑,
71', Fomin D. ↓, Marinkin T. ↑,
75', Lenini K. 🟨,
77', Joao Batxi ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
85', Bitello ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
85', Gladyshev Y. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
85', Glebov D. ↓, Chavez L. ↑,
90+1', Osipenko M. ↓, David Ricardo ↑,
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, Skopintsev D. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Spertsyan E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sergeev I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Olaza L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Chavez L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cordoba J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Arthur Gomes (Penalty Awarded),
4, Jubal Junior (Penalty Awarded),
5, Tyukavin K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Douglas Augusto (Penalty Awarded),
6, David Ricardo (Penalty Awarded),
6, Krivtsov N. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Caceres J. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Lenini K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 3.
Krasnodar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dynamo M has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Krasnodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Krasnodar is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).