The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Krasnodar 66.6%
Draw 20.8%
Fakel 12.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.2%
19.7%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
17.7%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Fakel aligns with the current prediction.
Krasnodar - Fakel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Koryakin A. (G) 23. Boselli J. 27. Burkin E. 11. Joao Batxi 59. Khmarin A. 6. Lenini K. 21. Ozdoev M. 17. Paltsev V. 2. Rodriguez M. 3. Tormena V. (C) 10. Vorobyev D.
96. Obukhov I. (G) 10. Alshin I. (C) 8. Bagamaev A. 53. Bardachev M. 5. Gabaraev A. 90. Koksharov A. 27. Magkeev S. 52. Netfullin R. 19. Pusi B. 11. Sutormin A. 55. Todorovic D.
Substitutes
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 53. Chernikov A. 18. Christian 9. Cordoba J. 29. Guseynov E. 5. Jubal Junior 15. Olaza L. 98. Petrov S. 47. Utkin D. 40. Vakhania I.
40. Clayton Sampaio 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 22. El Mhassani H. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 9. Gnapi Dable A. 17. Kovalev A. 97. Magomedov B. 18. Simonov K. 7. Turishchev M. 23. Yakimov V. 44. Zhuravlev Y.
Coaches
Musaev M.
Vasilenko O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Koksharov A. 🟨,
28', Magkeev S. ↓, Clayton Sampaio ↑,
32', Paltsev V. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Gabaraev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Todorovic D. ↓, Kovalev A. ↑,
46', Joao Batxi ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
46', Paltsev V. ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
61', Koksharov A. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
61', Pusi B. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
62', Vorobyev D. ↓, Christian ↑,
63', Burkin E. ↓, Utkin D. ↑,
63', Ozdoev M. ↓, Chernikov A. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Bagamaev A. ⚽,
75', Alshin I. ↓, El Mhassani H. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Turishchev M. ⚽,
86', Sutormin A. 🟨,
88', Bagamaev A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 4.
In recent outings, Krasnodar has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fakel is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The betting markets point to Krasnodar as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Krasnodar has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:8 (averaging 2.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Krasnodar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).