The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Krasnodar 52.3%
Draw 28%
Baltika Kaliningrad 19.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.2%
23.2%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
21.9%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krasnodar's form might have worsened.
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 40. Vakhania I. 3. Tormena V. 5. Jubal Junior 15. Olaza L. 53. Chernikov A. 6. Lenini K. 18. Christian 47. Utkin D. 11. Joao Batxi 9. Cordoba J. (C)
1. Latyshonok E. (G) 22. Beveev M. 2. Varatynov S. 24. Mouyokolo L. 21. Anderson E. 77. Civic E. 73. Petrov M. 8. Mendel A. (C) 10. Petrov I. 7. Shiltsov K. 91. Gil B.
Substitutes
23. Boselli J. 27. Burkin E. 16. Koryakin A. (G) 21. Ozdoev M. 17. Paltsev V. 98. Petrov S. 2. Rodriguez M. 10. Vorobyev D.
26. Belikov I. 98. Iva G. 3. Kirsch I. 14. Kovac S. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Moufi F. 5. Mourid A. 9. Offor C. 11. Porokhov I. 42. Pospelov V. 68. Ryadno M.
Coaches
Musaev M.
Talalaev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Anderson E. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Vakhania I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Petrov M. ↓, Moufi F. ↑,
57', Petrov I. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
58', Civic E. 🟨,
62', Vakhania I. 🟨,
67', Christian 🟨,
69', Utkin D. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
73', Shiltsov K. ↓, Pospelov V. ↑,
73', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
75', Christian ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
77', Vakhania I. ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
81', Civic E. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
85', Olaza L. 🟨,
89', Musaev M. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Mouyokolo L. ⚽, Pospelov V. (A),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th and 8th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Bookmakers give the edge to Krasnodar for this game.
Confirmed absences for Krasnodar: Krivtsov N.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Baltika: Filin A.
(Knee Injury)
Shnaptsev M.
(Inactive).
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Krasnodar has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Krasnodar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:5 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).