Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Krasnodar		Ufa

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8	Watch
	1.37	5	7.25	Watch
	1.4	4.7	6.5
	1.38	4.7	7.2
	1.4	5.29	7.88
	1.33	4.75	8.5
	1.39	5.15	9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)	4.94 ↑ (4.6)	7.76 ↑ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
68.7%

Draw
19.1%

Ufa
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.4%

17%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Krasnodar - Ufa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

Krasnodar has the most likely position - 2 (20.03%), has project points - 53, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (31%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Ufa has the most likely position - 16 (24.89%), has project points - 29, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Krasnodar in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ufa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Krasnodar is indisputable favorite.

In this match Krasnodar is absolute favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Krasnodar won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Krasnodar won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
Club Friendly
09.10.21	Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan	2:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
02.10.21	CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Krasnodar - Sochi	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
22.09.21	Leningradets - Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.09.21	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWWW
- FC Ufa
Russian Premier League
03.10.21	Ufa - Ural	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Spartak Moscow - Ufa	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
22.09.21	Legion Makhachkala - Ufa	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
18.09.21	Ufa - Khimki	3:2 ✺
12.09.21	Sochi - Ufa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
17.12.20	Krasnodar - Ufa	1:0
09.08.20	Ufa - Krasnodar	0:3
01.03.20	Krasnodar - Ufa	2:0
20.07.19	Ufa - Krasnodar	2:3
09.12.18	Krasnodar - Ufa	1:1
13.08.18	Ufa - Krasnodar	0:1
17.03.18	Krasnodar - Ufa	0:1

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