Match Info

Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Ozon Arena (Krasnodar)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Krasnodar		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.34	5.23	8.25
	1.38	5.3	8.66	Watch
	1.3	5.3	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)	5.28 ↓ (5.3)	8.3 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
70.7%

Draw
17.9%

Sochi
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

17.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

16.4%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Krasnodar - Sochi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Krasnodar (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Krasnodar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Koryakin A. (G) 53. Chernikov A. (C) 14. Furtado G. 20. Gonzalez G. 59. Khmarin A. 8. Kozlov D. 88. Krivtsov N. 6. Lenini K. 17. Paltsev V. 23. Perrin G. 3. Tormena	88. Lomaev I. (G) 5. Aberdin N. 8. Ignatov M. 45. Kamano F. 18. Korneev A. 19. Kovalenko A. 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 17. Makarchuk A. 20. Vasiljev D. 27. Zaika K. (C)
Substitutes
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 9. Cordoba J. 4. Diego Costa 66. Douglas Augusto 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 11. Joao Batxi 15. Olaza L. 98. Petrov S. 71. Revazov A. 69. Sidorenko A. 10. Spertsyan E. 7. Victor Sa	15. Agbalaka S. 59. Bart R. 35. Degtev A. (G) 99. Dyupin Y. (G) 9. Fedorov Z. 33. Marcelo Alves 6. Saavedra I. 3. Soldatenkov A. 7. Zinkovskiy A.
Coaches
Olenin A.	Osinkin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Makarchuk A. ↓, Agbalaka S. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Kozlov D. ⚽, Krivtsov N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Furtado G. ↓, Joao Batxi ↑,
46', Lenini K. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
46', Chernikov A. ↓, Douglas Augusto ↑,
46', Tormena ↓, Diego Costa ↑,
46', Ignatov M. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
46', Kamano F. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
46', Vasiljev D. ↓, Saavedra I. ↑,
60', Krivtsov N. ↓, Spertsyan E. ↑,
70', Korneev A. ↓, Zinkovskiy A. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Khmarin A. (A),
90+4', 3 - 0, Joao Batxi ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 4.

Krasnodar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sochi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Krasnodar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
18.10.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.25	Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
27.09.25	Rostov - Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Krasnodar - Zenit	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWTL
- FC Sochi
Russian Premier League
19.10.25	Sochi - Zenit	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
01.10.25	Krylya Sovetov - Sochi	4:3 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
28.09.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Sochi	0:0 ✺
22.09.25	Sochi - CSKA Moscow	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
27.08.25	Sochi - Krasnodar	2:4
Russian Premier League
17.08.25	Krasnodar - Sochi	5:1
18.05.24	Sochi - Krasnodar	2:3
30.07.23	Krasnodar - Sochi	2:0
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Krasnodar - Sochi	2:2
Russian Premier League
15.04.23	Sochi - Krasnodar	0:2
Club Friendly
03.02.23	Krasnodar - Sochi	1:0

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