Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 23

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki)

Referee: Simani P. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Gnistan		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.60	1.83	Watch
	3.80	3.60	1.88
	3.60	3.60	1.83	Watch
	3.94	3.86	1.96
	3.65	3.86	1.92	Watch
	3.90	3.75	1.90
	4.02	3.67	1.83	Watch
	3.55	3.50	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.7)	3.68 ↓ (3.74)	1.88 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
24.8%

Draw
25.4%

KuPS Kuopio
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25.1%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.5%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	8.3%	91.7%

Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Virtanen O. (G) 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 19. Milovanov B. 14. Eremenko R. 31. Jouhi A. 15. Europaeus G. 12. Arko-Mensah E. 7. Atarah A. 10. Latonen J. 23. Ylatupa S.	1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 33. Hamalainen T. 4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 15. Aiki A. 34. Eskesen J. 22. Touray S. 20. Parzyszek P.
Substitutes
2. Dahlstrom B. 27. Hannula O. 32. Lindstrom N. (G) 40. Ojala J. 11. Perez D. 25. Rossi N. 3. Ruxi	9. Engvall G. 16. Jyry T. 13. Kujasalo N. 23. Lotjonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 14. Pasanen S. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G)
Coaches
Leppalahti J.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Parzyszek P. ⚽, Pennanen P. (A),
44', Pennanen P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Milovanov B. ⚽, Latonen J. (A),
54', Touray S. ↓, Jyry T. ↑,
54', Aiki A. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
59', Parzyszek P. 🟨,
64', Parzyszek P. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
64', Eskesen J. ↓, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↑,
71', Ylatupa S. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
71', Eremenko S. ↓, Ruxi ↑,
73', Perez D. 🟨,
83', Gasc V. R. ↓, Pasanen S. ↑,
86', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
87', Latonen J. ↓, Hannula O. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

Gnistan is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )

KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

KuPS could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E. (Knee Injury) Launiala K. (Inactive) Marcelo Costa (Inactive)

There will not play in KuPS: Voutilainen J. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Gnistan: Juricka M. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:23. (average 0.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 39.56% Gnistan: 2.17%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48
4	Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40:32	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Gnistan - TPS	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	HJK - Gnistan	2:3 ✺
17.08.26	Gnistan - Ilves	3:2 ✺
07.08.26	SJK - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWTL
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.08.26	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.08.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:1
11.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	1:0
30.10.25	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	1:1
27.09.25	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:4
01.07.25	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	6:2
27.04.25	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	1:2
07.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	3:1

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