Match Info

FINLAND: Veikkausliiga

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Referee: Roth M. (Fin)


	KuPS Kuopio		Ekenäs

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.27	5.25	11
	1.27	5.45	12.5	Watch
	1.29	5.79	12.73
	1.27	5.82	12.78
	1.22	5	11
	1.3	5.4	10.5	Watch
	1.26	5.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.38)	5.42 ↑ (4.66)	11.25 ↑ (6.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
74.3%

Draw
17.4%

Ekenäs
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

19.8%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

18.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KuPS Kuopio's performance.

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekenäs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

KuPS Kuopio - Ekenäs Predictions

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hakala A. (G) 33. Hamalainen T. 15. Cisse I. 16. Miettinen S. 25. Antwi C. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 28. Siltanen M. 13. Oksanen J. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 26. Vidjeskog A. 9. Muzinga J.	1. Almeida R. (G) 2. Lehtonen J. 5. Katz K. 3. Vehkonen V. 30. Pallas E. 35. Leksell A. 31. Efimov S. 8. Adu E. (C) 11. Puro E. 24. Kante A. 14. Lindholm S.
Substitutes
4. Da Graca K. 17. Heinonen A. 1. Kreidl J. (G) 14. Muritala M. 34. Ruoppi O. 18. Saarinen S. 7. Voutilainen J.	15. Bjorklund A. 20. Lundstrom N. 34. Malundama H. 29. Mohamed F. 22. Mohammed N. 9. Ojala S. 90. Rintamaki O. (G)
Coaches
Honkavaara J.	Garcia Xatart G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Pallas E. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Muzinga J. ⚽,
24', Puro E. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Lindholm S. ⚽, Lehtonen J. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Pennanen P. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 3 - 1, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽,
59', Pallas E. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,
59', Puro E. ↓, Mohammed N. ↑,
64', Kante A. ↓, Ojala S. ↑,
67', Vidjeskog A. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
67', Siltanen M. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Hamalainen T. ⚽,
73', Mohammed N. 🟨,
75', Pennanen P. ↓, Ruoppi O. ↑,
76', Muzinga J. ↓, Muritala M. ↑,
76', Efimov S. ↓, Bjorklund A. ↑,
82', Vehkonen V. 🟨,
84', Antwi C. ↓, Da Graca K. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

KuPS is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches EIF is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

EIF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently KuPS have a series of guest games.

In this match KuPS is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches KuPS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams KuPS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.05.24	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
19.05.24	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
10.05.24	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWTW
- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.05.24	Ekenäs - Lahti	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Ekenäs - Ilves	0:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	Salon Palloilijat - Ekenäs	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.05.24	HJK - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
26.04.24	Inter Turku - Ekenäs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
26.05.22	KuPS Kuopio - Ekenäs	5:1

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