Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 14
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 15
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	KuPS Kuopio		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.8	2.05
	3.35	3.55	2.02
	3.37	3.68	2.14
	3.43	3.83	2	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.05
	3.01	3.87	2.17
	3.4	3.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.9)	3.7 ↑ (3.53)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
28.8%

Draw
25.5%

Lausanne-Sport
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.2%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

24.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KuPS Kuopio's performance.

Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	18.5%	59.3%

KuPS Kuopio - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - KuPS (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - KuPS (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (C) 24. Armah B. 15. Cisse I. 16. Miettinen S. 25. Antwi C. 7. Voutilainen J. 10. Arifi D. 13. Oksanen J. 20. Toure M. 9. Parzyszek P. 34. Ruoppi O.	25. Letica K. (G) 2. Soppy B. 14. Mouanga K. (C) 5. Okoh B. 18. Poaty M. 38. Sigua G. 8. Roche J. 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 27. Lekoueiry B. 9. Bair T. 70. Diakite G.
Substitutes
35. Golubickas P. 12. Hakala A. (G) 33. Hamalainen T. 22. Konate P. 23. Lotjonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 8. Pennanen P. 4. Ricardo P. 11. Sadiku A. 6. Savolainen S. 28. Seidu S.	20. Abdallah H. 7. Ajdini A. 77. Al Saad M. 16. Beloko N. 50. Bittarelli L. 1. Castella T. (G) 10. Custodio O. 93. Fofana S. 61. Grosso E. (G) 22. Kana-Biyik E. 54. Lippo R. 71. Sow K.
Coaches
Wiss J.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Armah B. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
55', Voutilainen J. ↓, Pennanen P. ↑,
71', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Beloko N. ↑,
71', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Al Saad M. ↑,
71', Diakite G. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
77', Toure M. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
85', Antwi C. ↓, Konate P. ↑,
85', Cisse I. ↓, Ricardo P. ↑,
87', Okoh B. 🟨,
90+6', Sigua G. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tammelan Stadion.

KuPS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lausanne-Sport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lausanne-Sport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lausanne-Sport could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in KuPS: Heinonen A. (Inactive) Pasanen S. (Injury) Salo R. (Inactive) Savolainen S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Bruchez E. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.11.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	KuPS Kuopio - Slovan Bratislava	3:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.11.25	KuPS Kuopio - Inter Turku	3:2 ✺
30.10.25	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWT
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
07.12.25	Lausanne-Sport - Lugano	0:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
03.12.25	Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ET ✺
Swiss Super League
30.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Lech Poznań - Lausanne-Sport	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
23.11.25	St. Gallen - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLL

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