The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 36.6%
Draw 30.3%
Kyoto Sanga 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
30%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
30.1%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kyoto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% โ 76.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Kyoto (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fujita K. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 3. Inamura H. 31. Horigome Y. 16. Komi Y. 6. Akiyama H. 19. Hoshi Y. 30. Okumura J. 9. Yamura K. 41. Hasegawa M.
1. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 2. Fukuda S. 24. Miyamoto Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 44. Sato K. 10. Fukuoka S. 8. Yonemoto T. 39. Hirato T. 14. Hara T. 9. Rafael Elias 18. Matsuda T.
Substitutes
11. Danilo Gomes 5. Fitzgerald M. 42. Hashimoto K. 15. Hayakawa F. 46. Kasai K. 99. Ono Y. 33. Takagi Y. 18. Wakatsuki Y. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
31. Hiraga S. 6. Joao Pedro 7. Kawasaki S. 77. Murilo de Souza 15. Nagata K. 29. Okugawa M. 26. Ota G. (G) 4. Patrick William 22. Sugai H.
Coaches
Kimori D.
Jo Gwi-Jae
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Yamura K. (Pen),
41', Yonemoto T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fukuda S. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
46', Yonemoto T. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
47', Matsuda T. 🟨,
56', Matsuda T. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
65', Okumura J. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
65', Yamura K. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
66', Fukuoka S. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
80', Hasegawa M. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
80', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Okugawa M. ⚽, Rafael Elias (A),
88', Komi Y. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Hirato T. ↓, Patrick William ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 3.
Recent matches Niigata is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kyoto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kyoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There are questionable in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun
(Knee Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Niigata won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.3:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).
China
Japan
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Fujita K. (G) 
Geria J. 
Gu Sung-Yun (G) 
Rafael Elias 
