Match Info

J1 League - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan
World	Onefootball


	Cerezo Osaka		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3	Watch
	2.31	3.58	3.25
	2.19	3.58	3.15	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.19	3.43	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.32)	3.44 ↓ (3.66)	3.12 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
42.5%

Draw
27.3%

Kyoto Sanga
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nakamura K. (G) 16. Okuda H. 4. Inoue R. 44. Hatanaka S. 66. Ohata A. 18. Ishiwatari N. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 48. Shibayama M. 13. Nakajima M. 19. Homma S. 11. Thiago Andrade	1. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. (C) 50. Suzuki Y. 34. Henrique Trevisan 44. Sato K. 6. Joao Pedro 25. Yoon S. 39. Hirato T. 11. Marco Tulio 88. Gustavo Barreto 29. Sakai K.
Substitutes
27. Cools D. 8. Kagawa S. 5. Kida H. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 6. Noborizato K. 9. Sakuragawa S. 7. Uejo S. 14. Yokoyama Y. 35. Yoshino K.	77. Arai H. 3. Asada S. 19. David 16. Hiraoka T. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 48. Nakano R. 7. Okugawa M. 22. Sugai H. 8. Yonemoto T.
Coaches
Papas A.	Jo Gwi-Jae

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Hirato T. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
28', Sakai K. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Sato K. 🟨,
59', Hirato T. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
59', Sato K. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
61', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Homma S. ⚽, Ishiwatari N. (A),
72', Gustavo Barreto ↓, David ↑,
72', Yoon S. ↓, Arai H. ↑,
80', Homma S. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
80', Shibayama M. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
90', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
90+3', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
90+5', Sugai H. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 0, Sakuragawa S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Knee Injury) Takahashi T. (Back Injury) Yengi K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Knee Injury) Rafael Elias (Injury)

There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Sakata R. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Cerezo Osaka: 1.92% Kyoto: 1.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Gamba Osaka - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe	2:1 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWLW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama	5:1 ✺
04.04.26	Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 penalties ✺
18.03.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
14.03.26	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:2
28.09.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:4
Japan J1 League
03.05.25	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	2:3
17.08.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	3:5
01.06.24	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
25.11.23	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	0:1

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