Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kyoto Sanga		Nagoya Grampus

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.82	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.87
	2.38	3.3	2.82	Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.9
	2.42	3.43	2.87	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.75
	2.43	3.34	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.32)	3.34 ↓ (3.47)	2.83 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
38.8%

Draw
28.1%

Nagoya Grampus
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ota G. (G) 22. Sugai H. (C) 50. Suzuki Y. 34. Henrique Trevisan 44. Sato K. 48. Nakano R. 25. Yoon S. 16. Hiraoka T. 7. Okugawa M. 11. Marco Tulio 77. Arai H.	35. Pisano A. (G) 2. Nogami Y. 13. Fujii H. 31. Takamine T. 19. Koda H. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 14. Morishima T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Substitutes
3. Asada S. 2. Fukuda S. 88. Gustavo Barreto 39. Hirato T. 99. Honda F. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 18. Matsuda T. 32. Saito M. 17. Souza Alex	9. Asano Y. 33. Kikuchi T. 20. Mikuni K. 44. Mori S. 18. Nagai K. 30. Sugiura S. 16. Takeda Y. (G) 55. Tokumoto S. 17. Uchida T.
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Koda H. ⚽, Nogami Y. (A),
35', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
59', Nogami Y. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
59', Morishima T. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
61', Arai H. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
61', Hiraoka T. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
65', Hirato T. 🟨,
73', Nakano R. ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
80', Koda H. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
80', Izumi R. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
81', Souza Alex 🟨,
90', Honda F. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Inagaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Marco Tulio (Penalty Awarded),
2, Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Okugawa M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nakayama K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hirato T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mikuni K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yoon S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Nagai K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Fukuda S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Injury)

There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nagoya: Nogami Y. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kyoto: 1.57% Nagoya Grampus: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLWW
- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Nagoya Grampus - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus	1:5 ✺
01.03.26	Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Nagoya Grampus - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
10.08.25	Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
11.05.25	Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus	1:1
07.08.24	Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus	3:2
26.05.24	Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga	1:1
16.07.23	Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus	2:1
25.02.23	Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
08.10.22	Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus	1:1

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