Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Zhezqazghan)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ulytau		Astana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.10	3.50	1.68
	3.60	3.30	1.79	Watch
	4.47	3.65	1.78
	4.47	3.69	1.69	Watch
	4.40	3.60	1.66
	4.48	3.74	1.73	Watch
	4.20	3.45	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (4.29)	3.56 ↑ (3.32)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulytau
21.4%

Draw
25.6%

Astana
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

27.7%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

26.7%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ulytau have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ulytau - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: Astana will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nepogodov D. (G) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 28. Bugulov G. 25. Bukhal G. 12. Afanasenko V. 7. Kishi K. 18. Bougnone A. 8. Vachiberadze B. 14. Harada H. 90. Martin D. 45. Zulfikarov B.	74. Selsen M. 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 5. Kazukolovas K. 3. Kalaica B. 77. Shomko D. 9. Islamkhan B. 7. Karaman D. 8. Basic I. 10. Tomasov M. 81. Karimov R. 72. Basmanov S.
Substitutes
13. Akhmedov A. 4. Chalkin M. 22. Chernyak I. 17. Daniyarov B. 69. Maulenov D. 21. Nurali O. 6. Nursultanov K. 9. Serikkul R. 77. Shauymbay M. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G)	47. Abrayev M. 20. Ahanonu N. 90. Amangeldy M. (G) 15. Beysebekov A. 29. Buric N. 93. Condric J. (G) 17. Marat D. 21. Merkel A. 45. Miladinovic I. 84. Zheksenbek A.
Coaches
Mazbaev N.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Tomasov M. ⚽, Kazukolovas K. (A),
21', Kishi K. 🟨,
26', Islamkhan B. 🟨,
38', Tomasov M. 🟨,
40', Harada H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Harada H. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
62', Zulfikarov B. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
67', Islamkhan B. ↓, Abrayev M. ↑,
67', Basmanov S. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
74', Kishi K. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
83', Bougnone A. ↓, Nurali O. ↑,
83', Carmona Sierra D. ↓, Maulenov D. ↑,
88', Afanasenko V. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Tomasov M. ⚽,
90+3', Tomasov M. ↓, Merkel A. ↑,
90+3', Karimov R. ↓, Buric N. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Ulytau has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Astana is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ulytau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Astana has had a series of home games.

In this match, Astana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:3).

Including home match between the teams, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

FC Astana: 0.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FC Astana	25	14	6	5	42:25	17	48
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
25.07.26	Ulytau - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Zhenis - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Ordabasy - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ulytau - Ordabasy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLL
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Astana - Altai Semey	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Astana - Dinamo City	1:4 AET ✺
Kazakh Premier League
12.07.26	Astana - Aktobe	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Dinamo City - Astana	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
03.07.26	Astana - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
22.05.26	Astana - Ulytau	3:0
17.08.25	Astana - Ulytau	4:0
18.05.25	Ulytau - Astana	0:2

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